Communications advice to the Great Communicator

I thought Malcolm’s strongest feature was as the Great Communicator. So why this now from Robert Gottliebsen: How Malcolm Turnbull can lift his media game. This is the message he wishes to convey:

Turnbull’s failure to sell his message is hurting his campaign, he’ll need to sharpen the script if he wants to cut through.

The problem is that it’s not “his message” but Tony’s. Nevertheless, Gottliebsen seeks to offer advice:

Given Bill Shorten knows the electronic media game backwards and forwards, there is an uneven contest. It’s no surprise that Shorten is winning in the opinion polls.

I realised that Turnbull does not know the secret of communicating on radio as I replayed yesterday’s interview with Alan Jones.

I have been around the radio game for many decades, so, with respect Mr. Prime Minister, let me give you a few hints.

I’m afraid, at this stage, it is all instinct. All you can do is let Malcolm be Malcolm in getting Tony’s message out and hope for the best.

Donald Trump and Ali G

I find this astonishing in a number of ways, all of which seem to the credit of Donald Trump. One has to assume Trump had never heard of Ali G before they met. So before you watch, answer this: “What is the most popular thing in the world?” Try to get a sensible answer from that off the top of your head.

Second, Ali G names a problem he thinks needs to be solved. Trump gives him the perfect solution on the spot. If you watch, you will see how Ali G does a double take at the profound sense of the answer to his stupid question.

Lastly, Trump sizes Ali G up, sees he’s a weightless buffoon, and has the perfect response. And it’s only the first minute you have to bother with.

A vote for the Liberals is not a vote for Malcolm

We all know that Malcolm Turnbull would not lift a finger to stop illegal immigration if things were up to him. The boats would just roll on in and nothing of consequence would be done. If you are looking for a reminder, you can find one here. He is a shallow narcissist, but most importantly represents none of the values that brought the Coalition to government in 2013. In contrast, I do not know what Bill Shorten himself believes, other than that he believes with all his heart that the polling shows that stopping the boats is a major aim across Australia. Unfortunately for him, but fortunately for us, many of his Parliamentary colleagues prefer virtue signalling to winning the next election.

Here, however, is what we find today: Federal election 2016: Turnbull leaves Shorten at sea over refugees.

Malcolm Turnbull has captured the necessary spirit on asylum-seekers for a Coalition leader and confronted suggestions that he is “soft on boats”.

There was no lawyerly dissembling for the Prime Minister yesterday; no awkward body language nor any weasel words as he not only defended Peter ­Dutton’s unvarnished reality about the financial cost of taking refugees, but also refined and ­extended the argument.

Turnbull heartily embraced the Immigration Minister’s “brutal” and “no sugar-coated” view of ­illegal boat arrivals and the cost of caring for refugees after Bill ­Shorten tried to turn border protection into a positive for Labor.

He might well have picked up one of Tony’s old set of speaking notes as he left for the press conference. Even as dense as he is, he knows that in the party he is the nominal leader of, he has no choice but to take this line. The slightest softness and he might well be cut down overnight by the party room. But as the next para in the story puts it:

Labor hopes to prove Turnbull inconsistent and insincere on ­social issues he once supported.

And that’s just the point. Malcolm’s own personal beliefs count for absolutely nothing. This is the view of the party room and it is absolutely united on this one issue, which may yet be the decisive issue in this election. There is then the National Party after that.

The idea of voting out the Coalition to teach those traitorous 52 Liberals a lesson is so bizarrely self-defeating that it leaves me dumbfounded. Rather than being Machiavellian – daringly clever in achieving some subtle but desirable conspiratorial end – it is the absolute opposite. It can never make sense to give your enemies a victory they don’t deserve. Losing is not a form of winning. Malcolm being the empty suit he is, will soon find the international environment dominated by a new President of the United States who is in many important respects, the American Tony Abbott. Malcolm will therefore adjust his views to suit the time, and one can only hope that sometime in 2017, he will be given his own gold (Cartier) watch and shoved out the Parliamentary door. Malcolm’s authority is diminishing each day as others begin to see him for what he is. There is so much political insanity around, getting the Libs back may be one of the most crucial election results in Australian history.

The Murdoch-Trump alliance

I might start being able to read The Oz again: Why Rupert Murdoch Decided to Back Donald Trump. It is dearly to be wished. From which:

The Murdoch-Trump alliance is the result of at least two private meetings between the billionaires this spring as well as phone calls from Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner. Murdoch’s view, according to those who’ve spoken with him, is that Trump is a winner whom the “elites” failed to take seriously. “He doesn’t like people to be snobs and treat Trump like a clown,” one person explained. Murdoch’s outlook is also informed by his take on the winnowed GOP field. When it came down to the final three candidates, Murdoch simply saw Trump as the best option. “He never liked Cruz,” the source explained. Kasich made a personal pitch to Murdoch that he could win on a second ballot at the convention, but failed to persuade. In March, Murdoch tweeted that the GOP would “be mad not to unify” behind Trump.

And hopefully after our election, he can have another look at Turnbull again, assuming the Libs win, of course. I look forward to Niki Savva’s next book on The Subtle Genius and Hidden Strengths of Tony Abbott. But first the Coalition has to win.

A little test you can try at home

Scott Adams – that’ right, Dilbert’s Scott Adams – on About those policy details. It is Trump’s policy details he had in mind, but the issue is no doubt universal in democracies if the argument is actually valid:

Here’s a little test you can try at home. In your mind, divide your friends and coworkers into two groups. One group understands a lot about making business decisions and one group has no business experience. Ask each of them individually this question:

How much detail should Trump provide on his policies?

A. Lots of detail so we know exactly what he plans to do.

B. We only need the big picture now because the details will be negotiated later, and the environment will change by then. Also, presidents have access to better advice and information than candidates.

I predict that your most experienced friends and coworkers will choose B. Let me know in the comments how it goes.

By the time I got to it, there were 3651 comments.

Trump is right and Ryan is duplicitous and dangerous

This is going to be a bruising election season for me. Here in Australia you can see my deeply hostile attitude to voting Labor to punish the Libs for replacing Tony Abbott with Malcolm Turnbull. I find voting Labor at any time, but particularly now, both self-destructive and absurd. Other than in some revenge fantasy, it achieves nothing but harm. The Libs already deeply regret the change but there is nothing to be done now. We just have to get the Coalition back and then dispose of Malcolm later. If the only way we count is to allow the Labor Party to return to government, then count me out. I cannot stand Malcolm, and have been on the record for a very long time opposing him and everything he stands for – just go to the link to see my history. But at least he is constrained by his party room which still has Tony Abbott plus the other 42 amongst them, not to mention the Nationals who are the Coalition partners. It is a lot more than will ever constrain Labor.

And now this from Quadrant Online, which seems to be as anti-Trump as the Murdoch press. This is an election for the soul of Western civilisation, and there is only one good side and that side has for all practical purposes decided who will be its presidential candidate, and in my view the right person ended up as the candidate. If that hopeless loser Paul Ryan, worst VP candidate I have ever seen – charmless and unpersuasive in all he did – and who as Speaker of the House handed Obama everything he had sought on a plate – if he now wants to play funny buggers about Trump as the Republican candidate, then he needs to have every bit of authority he has in the party taken from him. His antics have set up someone to contest his House seat among the Republicans, and there is this as well: Poll: Nearly half of GOP voters disapprove of Ryan. The real way to read the data is that more Republicans disapprove of him as Speaker than approve.

Only 40 percent of GOP voters are happy with Ryan’s stint as speaker so far, while 44 percent disapprove. Those numbers worsen among all voters, with just 30 percent approval and 48 percent disapproval.

But now that Trump has won the primaries and will be the candidate unless some kind of suicidal death wish overtakes the Republicans (which is not impossible) Ryan’s job is to unite the party around its chosen candidate. That is not just a suggestion – it is his job. That is what his function requires. Anything else weakens the Republicans going into the next election, and Trump’s anger at such disgusting disloyalty is righteous. Ryan is playing a Judas role. Which brings me back to Quadrant Online.

QoL, for reasons known only to itself, has decided that the best person to cover the US election is someone by name of Michael Warren Davis who describes himself as “an assistant editor at Quadrant and poetry editor for the Quarterly Review“. He is an American studying in Sydney. And this is what he has to say about Trump v Ryan:

I have exactly zero sympathy for those who now turn around and tell Paul Ryan, Jeb Bush, the National Review writers et al. that they must be paid-up, loyal, dutifully and unquestioning members to the Trump Movement. That’s complete tosh. Either you believe it is the duty of all to oppose corrupt and wrong-headed authority – which is, basically, what the American Revolution was all about – or you don’t. There’s no in-between.

Such sanctimonious ignorant crap! You, Michael Warren Davis, can do as you like, but you are not the Republican Speaker of the House. I realise that a poetry editor does not necessarily have a clue about politics as she is done in the real world, but Trump has every right to run Ryan over with a steamroller if he is going to play the coy maiden in withholding his support. Trump is trying to win the presidency on behalf of the Republicans and create as much tailwind as possible to carry others along with him. By now I imagine Ryan has little influence on the outcome of the American election, but whatever influence he does have should be directed towards electing Trump. Because otherwise, it is being directed towards Hillary. Understanding this is the equivalent of understanding iambic pentameter in Shakespeare. That is, it is understood by everyone except the most dull witted, bone headed and stupid.

AND NEWS JUST TO HAND: Trump-Ryan Meetings Begin With Nominee in No Mood for Compromise. And here’s the point:

“Mr. Trump doesn’t need to do anything,” said Representative Duncan Hunter, the California Republican who co-chairs Trump’s U.S. House Leadership Committee. “As Republicans in the House, we got used to the idea that our speaker was the de facto leader of the party. We didn’t have somebody to represent our party against President Obama’s administration. But that’s over now — it’s Trump, whether people like it or not.” . . .

Some of Ryan’s fellow Republicans, however, won’t have much patience for a long, drawn-out reconciliation. Even two of his own top lieutenants have already publicly backed the New York billionaire — McCarthy of California and Scalise of Louisiana.

“I don’t think Trump necessarily needs Paul Ryan to get elected president — he hadn’t needed him so far,” said Representative Lynn Westmoreland of Georgia, who is among those who argue it is time for all Republicans need to get behind Trump.

And this at the end of the story is as revealing as it is surprising:

In public, Trump has so far been mostly respectful toward Ryan. During a Trump campaign rally in March in Ryan’s hometown of Janesville, Wisconsin, the billionaire asked for his supporters’ thoughts on their local congressman.

“How do you like Paul Ryan? Do you like him?” Trump asked the packed conference room. The capacity crowd of about 1,000 people erupted in loud boos. “Wow,” Trump said, surprised. “I was told to be nice to Paul Ryan.

Shame they didn’t tell Ryan the same about being nice to Trump.

The rise and fall of Peter Hendy

Peter Hendy is running for his life in Eden-Monaro and is likely to lose his seat after only one term. What interests me is that no one ever mentions that he had been the Chief Executive of the Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry for many years where he had been my CEO. Is that not seen as a qualification for those wondering who to vote for? Apparently not. This, however, is from the comments thread where Andrew Bolt discussed Hendy cannot now demand loyalty given that he was one of the leaders of the 54 who deposed Abbott.

I live in Eden Monaro and can confirm that Hendy has been MIA since being elected. Mr Invisible (or is that Dr Invisible?). The only time we heard from him is when we discover that he has been spending his time counting numbers for Turnbull. Instead of spending time getting himself known in the electorate, which might give him a chance of re-election even if things were going well for the Liberals, he has been behaving like a political heavy inside Parliament House and at his own house. Quite obviously, he has not made the transition from being a Political Staffer (he worked for Julie Bishop and Peter Reith) to an Elected Member where his first priority must be his electorate. As you say, he only won the seat on the back of the pro-Abbott swing and because of the inordinate amount of time Tony Abbott spent in the electorate getting Hendy known. Mike Kelly is not my cup of tea but he has exceeding high name recognition throughout the large electorate. Hendy has the personality of a damp rag and needed Abbott’s confidence and exuberance to lead the way on his public appearances. What a way to say thanks. I will not be rewarding Hendy for his treachery.

On the left, they vote as they are directed. Doesn’t work the same among conservatives.

The “I will resign as soon as elected” party

If it is still possible, someone must run in Wentworth as part of the “I will resign as soon as elected” party which will have only a single policy: if elected I will resign the moment the Liberal Party chooses a new leader. Is it too late? This is from Andrew Bolt:

Turnbull Government ministers and influential backbenchers at first did not believe me when I reported that Malcolm Turnbull had quietly had a Greens candidate, Lin Hatfield Dodds, made one of the deputy secretaries of his Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet, in charge of his social policy.

Incredible, but true.

Here is how Hatfield Dodd’s job was first advertised, suggesting the power this Greens candidate will now have with Turnbull, whose slogans shape the job description.

Go to the link and read it all. Perhaps Labor really is the lesser of two evils.

Doesn’t look so tiny to me

Alerted by Andrew Bolt, there is a throwaway comment in Miranda Divine’s column today in the Daily Telegraph: RAGE OF THE TINY DELCONS.

Just 14 per cent say they are less likely to vote for the Turnbull-led Coalition. That’s the delcon community, small but noisy.

Since there are no Green or Labor people in that number, only those who might vote Coalition, that seems like 14% of the 50% of the country likely to vote for the Libs, that is around a quarter of those who voted for the Libs last time who are now thinking about other options.

The Daily Bolt

This is quite worth watching, and the thing is that I imagine there will be many similar excerpts from The Daily Bolt that will be worth watching day after day right through to the election. Not being among those who take pleasure in seeing the Libs crash and burn with Malcolm at the helm, this editorial comment on Turnbull v Abbott fills me with great foreboding. But for a change, there is the kind of feedback being run at those narrow-cast Members of Parliament who took their lead from the ABC while ignoring the people who actually wished to see the Coalition succeed. I fear there will be a good deal of repenting in leisure among the 54.