These people are genuine totalitarians

What do these people know about “freedom”? You are looking at the essence of a totalitarian mindset You will follow their orders or we will continue to lock you in your homes. Here’s the text.

Minister warns of more lockdowns unless 70% of Victorians get vaccinated BUSINESSES in Victoria are being urged to campaign for staff to get vaccinated amid warnings almost three quarters of the state needs the jab before tough lockdowns end.

The Sunday Herald Sun can reveal Small Business Minister Jaala Pulford met industry leaders last week and warned 70 per cent of Victoria needed to be vaccinated to end lockdowns.

Leaders were told that public health teams were likely to maintain harsh restrictions during major outbreaks until the vast majority of people were vaccinated.

Meanwhile, Victoria’s multibillion-dollar construction industry faces an anxious wait after a cleaner tested positive for coronavirus at a city building site. Last night 170 workers from the Queen St site were in isolation awaiting test results amid fears more cases could spark more site closures.

I hope they end up in the dock with the others.

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And just what liability is the state government going to take on itself if things go wrong? As in below.

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Not to mention this.

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Serfdom + Netflix + Welfare might be just the thing for most people

Although she’s big into “I told you so” mode, I’m not into that at all. In life, you never know when a tile might fall off a roof and hit you on the head. Same with who might get Covid or when. But I do agree with this by Sarah Hoyt, suitably amended.

I was suicidallydepressed amazed that no one else seemed to see it. Honestly? I still don’t understand why. The numbers from the Diamond Princess were clear enough, but more than that, the fact that our institutions announced they wouldn’t audit cases of Covid-19, meaning there was no penalty for inflating the numbers, which they were being given extra money for; and the “must not question” policies of the social media and news media made it obvious what was happening: it’s a scam.

Anyway, read her take, and with this I especially agree.

At the same time somehow the media, the panic, the insanity, was all in the holy name of convincing people this was the most lethal thing ever. Oh, and crashing the economy. And being able to steal the election. (Thank you, Americans. Even with all that shit, all the crazy bullshit, you voted for Trump in such numbers these assholes needed to fraud openly, in the light of day, in the most clumsy way possible.) ALL OF IT was a political coup; a way to take down a successful president and install a China stooge. ALL OF IT.

That always seemed to be the agenda. Meantime, tradespeople I have been dealing with for years are shutting down their businesses with nothing to show for it other than years of effort thrown away because of an uncaring and completely clueless government (specially here in Victoria) and the credulous fools who vote for them. This seems sadly all too accurate.

The side effects of this are horrific: we have unemployed people…. We have people who missed their cancer diagnosis and are now dying. We have people who died of other illnesses, because going to the hospital wasn’t a thing…. We have elderly who started developing cognitive problems after being isolated for over a year. We have teens committing suicide. We have food wasted in big honking batches because restaurants were closed.

And there is this to dwell on as well from the Front Line COVID-19 Critical Care Alliance – Prevention & Treatment Protocols for COVID-19. But I will end going back to Sarah and her post where she wrote:

I urge you very strongly to look at the members of the Junta and their helpers, and visualize the real people behind the masks. Visualize people who destroy a country and the world for the sake of more power over everyone, and to keep their misdeeds from coming out. I URGE you to contemplate that they’d rather reign in hell than serve in heaven. And then, if you ever again believe any of the media-ginned-up hysterias without checking facts or using your brain, be aware that next time the “I told you so” will have teeth. That knee to the groin will go all the way up. Oh, not administered by me, but by those younger and with more to lose who will be absolutely tired of this shit. And what comes after might not be civilization as we know it.

If you could not visualise today from what you knew in 2019, you will not be able to visualise what is coming in 2023. Civilisation as we know it has certainly gone. What’s next? Who knows? But what you do know is that the serfs didn’t mind serfdom at the time, so going forward, Serfdom + Netflix + Welfare (with the footie thrown in), might be just the thing for most people.

And then, just to finish off: What Happens When Doctors Can’t Tell the Truth?. A sample from the text:

“People are afraid to speak honestly,” said a doctor who immigrated to the U.S. from the Soviet Union. “It’s like back to the USSR, where you could only speak to the ones you trust.” If the authorities found out, you could lose your job, your status, you could go to jail or worse. The fear here is not dissimilar.

Lots of things are not dissimilar.

Bayesian conditional probability and false positives

Saw this as a comment here in relation to false positives.

Bayesian conditional probability is being completely ignored. Let’s say a COVID-19 test is 90% accurate and 1 out of 100 people have COVID-19. You test positive for COVID-19, what’s the chance the test is correct? 100-1=99 people don’t have COVID-19 but 99×10%= ~10 will falsely test positive. The probability that you actually have COVID-19 is only 1/(1+10)= ~9%. ~90% of positive cases/deaths are FALSE!

This led to a comment that did much to clarify the point.

Seems highly counterintuitive.

But consider:
(a) if 100 people get tested, and only 1 has COVID, approx 10 or 11 will still test positive, with 9 or 10 positives being false;
(b) so if you’re one of the 10 or 11 positives, then (even ignoring for the present that all the positive tests might be false and the real COVID sufferer a false negative) there’s only a 9 or 10% chance you have COVID;
(c ) so if “90% accurate” and “1 in 100 has it” are real stats, then the reasoning seems prima facie sound.

Which then led to this comment.

Conditional probability is a thing. I watched the video and worked it out myself at the point where he said “pause the video and try to work it out”. I didn’t look up the formula either … did it from first principles.

This was the video.

However, even more to the point is this discussion of Bayes’ Theorem. Debated for 250 years but only now becoming accepted as a legitimate means of assessing probability. If you get it, you get it, but it is not all that intuitive, but when you really think it through, it should become obvious.

It’s been confirmed we are in the hands of madmen

This is virtually the entire text from Doctors, Lawyers & COVID. There is no moral sense in any of this.

The Drug that Cracked Covid may be the most important article you’ll read this year. There’s a lot of information there, but at its core is the story of Judy Smetkiewicz, an active 80-year-old who lives near Buffalo, New York.

Three days before Christmas, Judy tested positive for COVID-19. A week later, an ambulance transported her to hospital. By New Year’s Eve, she was on a ventilator in ICU. Her family was advised that 80% of people in her position never recover. They were told she’d likely remain that way – sedated and unresponsive, in a facility they were barred from entering – for a month before she fully succumbed and died.

But Judy’s family was pushy. They watched a video of Pierre Kory testifying before a US Senate committee a few weeks earlier (see above). He’s an ICU doctor who has treated hundreds of COVID patients in New York City and elsewhere. In the video, he discusses Ivermectin – a safe, cheap, generic drug that has potent anti-COVID properties. This drug, he testified, is saving lives wherever it gets used.

When Judy’s family asked her ICU physician to give her Ivermectin, he refused. It hasn’t been explicitly approved by health agencies as a COVID-19 treatment, he explained, and “we don’t experiment on our patients.” Not even when they’re at death’s door, almost certain to perish anyway.

Judy’s family kept pushing. A hospital administrator finally relented, approving a single dose of Ivermectin. Less than 24 hours later, Judy no longer needed that ventilator. Shortly afterward, though, she began to decline. Her family asked for another dose of Ivermectin. The hospital refused. That’s when they hired a lawyer.

How bizarre. In the middle of a pandemic, a group of experienced, accomplished, respected physicians for whom Kory is a spokesperson say they’ve found an effective treatment. But hospitals refuse to dispense that treatment. Which compels already-traumatized families to hire lawyers.

A judge ruled in favour of Judy’s family, ordering the hospital to dispense four more doses. It refused to carry out the judge’s order. Another hearing was held. The hospital finally agreed to dispense additional doses if Judy’s family doctor wrote the prescription.

This looks, of course, like old-fashioned butt-covering. The hospital appears to have been OK with Judy dying. But not OK with using a drug off-label, even though a US government website explains this happens all the time:

Off-label prescribing is when a physician gives you a drug that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has approved to treat a condition different than your condition. This practice is legal and common. In fact, one in five prescriptions written today are for off-label use. [bold added]

After spending a month in a rehab facility, Judy returned home.

Speaking up for Jews

I see his point – attacking Jews outside Israel for acts of the Israeli government in defending itself from Hamas – is attacking people who have nothing to do with the Middle East or with Israeli policy.

Yet I find myself caring about the fate of Israel. And while I also care about Taiwan, the Uighurs, the murder of Christians in all kinds of places at the present time, I do particularly care about the fate and security of Israel. No doubt this is because I am Jewish and I am therefore aware of how precarious Jewish lives have often been over the past thousand years, and certainly over the past century.

We are an unusual people who have been guests in other people’s national homes for the past two thousand years so have become sensitive to certain issues, such as the persecution of foreigners. It has warped the social values of many Jews in ways I cannot support since I feel nationalistic towards the countries in which I have lived – Canada, the UK and now Australia.

Indeed, I feel a warmth and kinship towards Western Civilisation for which Jewish values are an integral part which has occurred via the incorporation of the Old Testament within Christianity.

Anti-semitism is a curse. As it is said, “first they came for the Jews”. Jews are the outsiders who often become the standard around which the oppression of others takes place.

Still the point made in the video is valid and important. And it is clear he has only jumped into this issue because he can see how close the latest version of the oldest hatred has entered into his own life just as it is entering into the lives of all Jews everywhere today.

Circulating elites

The heading is what I thought of when I read this article: Red Lines by Michael Anton. This is the para that sets if off:

To recap briefly (but read the whole thing!), the book explains how every prominent and powerful American institution, including the federal government, has been taken over by a hostile elite who use their vast powers to attack, despoil, and insult about half the nation. In the sixth chapter (excerpted here), I outline what I think America will look like if the present ruling class refuses to moderate, cannot be forced to share power, and has the wherewithal to keep its regime going. In the seventh chapter, I sketch several possibilities—from secession to Caesarism to collapse—that might result if it turns out that our overlords are a lot less competent than they think. And in the final chapter (excerpted here), I offer policy and other ideas that might enable America to avoid those fates.

Every forecast is wrong, every prediction is false almost before it’s made. No one is ever in control. Things will fall apart before any kind of order is returned. Not just now, but always.

Sexual confusion by design

These stories are related, and not just by their association with Quillette. First, from Claire Lehmann herself: Three false narratives about women and sex. The final paras:

Women are not passive sexual beings, nor are they sexless, and nor are they without predatory impulses themselves. The human condition is complicated, and sexuality in particular can be a Pandora’s box of contradictions. (We have thousands of years of art and culture reflecting this fact.)

Yet the narratives I have broadly sketched are currently ossifying into dogma because we are too scared to challenge them. Falsehoods are going unchallenged because nobody wants to be seen as a prude, nobody wants to be seen as a “victim blamer” and nobody wants to be seen as anti-feminist.

But we are not doing women, and young women in particular, any favours if we fail to speak honestly about sex. The fact is that young people are more confused than ever. Clearly, the messages we are sending them are not providing them with much clarity, confidence, or empowerment.

This is from Quillette itself: The Gathering Resistance to the Stigmatisation of Masculinity. The final para.

Courage, risk-taking, persistence, strength, and stoicism are normal characteristics of young male development. Instead of trying to re-engineer human nature, educators should acknowledge that such traits and proclivities are of value to all children, and that they are most important to the process by which young boys become men.

My granddaughters have all immediately taken to playing with dolls. My grandsons immediately took an interest in building sites and play with toy trucks as their absolutely first preference. No one guided them that way. That is just how they are. These traits are inbuilt, just as is female modesty, Germaine Greer notwithstanding.

“Let conspiracy theorists die from the virus, if that’s their choice”

This wasn’t very nice.

I was vaccinated on Friday. Now a voice in my ear keeps whispering: “This is Bill Gates. Buy Microsoft.” No, wait. The thought in my head is actually: Enough! There’s no excuse left for another lockdown. Let conspiracy theorists die from the virus, if that’s their choice. We’ve almost finished protecting the vulnerable, and that’s enough.

This was even the heading:

NO MORE LOCKDOWNS: LET VACCINE CONSPIRACISTS GET INFECTED

If someone is hesitant about taking an untried, untested vaccine for which no one can be sued if things go wrong it is insane and insulting to describe such concerns as “conspiracy”. 

Full column here. And I notice he was hardly the first in line to show the rest of us the way. Hardly anyone has been dying from Covid for almost a year and there are alternatives to vaccination, such as HCQ and Ivermectin. Then there’s this from the comments.

Covid mortality/morbidity is incredibly unremarkable. One has a near 100% chance of surviving an infection. Over 99% of cases across the planet have made full, natural recoveries. Their immune systems have done the job and are better off for it. 

And here you are, fed up like all of us about the lockdowns but falling victim it seems to the obsession with under-developed, inadequately trialled & unapproved ‘vaccines’ as a means out of this mess. Such a naive, propagandised perspective! 

Yes, have your shot. They exist only to lessen the severity of your own symptoms should you get an infection. Not to protect others! But the pressure the media, the Govt. and the health industry at large are placing on Australians to get theirs is unethical at the very least! And who has to market/advertise a vaccine anyway? Doesn’t that speak volumes for the effectiveness and safety of the stuff? 

Being ‘vaccine-timid’ or vaccine hesitant may just save ones life! 

And many Australians favour their own healthy innate immune system over that of under-developed, unapproved drugs that have significant adverse reactions (including death). And where’s the general support for those people who aren’t as bloody vaccine obsessed as you lot! 

We shall see in a year or two.

John Stuart Mill and freedom of speech

The video is found here: Answers to 12 Bad Anti-Free Speech Arguments. There was a time when those on the left liked to argue but that was a long time ago. The left believe they no longer have to listen to anyone, and therefore no longer do. The result is the growing catastrophe we see before us. 

For more detail on Mill and free speech go here: Mill’s Argument for Free Speech: A Guide. There you will come across this actual quote from Mill:

…the peculiar evil of silencing the expression of an opinion is that it is robbing the human race; posterity as well as the existing generation; those who dissent from the opinion, still more than those who hold it. If the opinion is right, they are deprived of the opportunity of exchanging error for truth; if wrong, they lose, what is almost as great a benefit, the clearer perception and livelier impression of truth produced by its collision with error.

Shutting someone up is not free speech.