The “Low Information” Voter

Part of the appeal for the left side of politics is that to vote for the Democrats or ALP the amount of knowledge and reasoning ability required to see their point is close to nil. Just promise what everyone wants and tell them you’re on their side and you can line up near on half the population. That the meagre welfare actually provided turns out to be a low income trap is just by the way. It’s the thought that counts.

Which brings us to an article at The American Thinker titled appropriately The American Ignoramus. Here’s the point:

One particular Pew Research Center poll illustrates the average citizen’s paltry stock of political information. Between July 26-29, 2012, the Pew Research Center asked a random sample of adults twelve questions tapping knowledge of the presidential election. Some questions probed knowledge of where the candidates stood on key issues; others plumbed information about the candidates’ background. The average score was 6.5 questions right, or 54% of the total. Forty-nine percent got six or fewer questions correct.

It really is depressing to dwell on it. Our constitutions were developed in a different age when reading the press and properly debating issues was a general pastime. Now we are into the politics of the lowest common denominator.

What are the consequences of widespread political ignorance? Manipulation of ordinary people by what Angelo Codevilla calls the “ruling class,” which includes political leaders, the news and entertainment media, and special interest groups. Instead of public opinion shaping public policy, most of the time Jane or John Q. Public has no political influence, because she/he knows little, if anything, about what is going on in the corridors of power.
Unless someone can find a way to stimulate greater grassroots political attentiveness — the more interested people are in public affairs, the better informed they are — expecting a substantially better-informed citizenry is wishful thinking. There are just too many spheres of life, such as family, friends, work, health, faith, recreation, entertainment, etc., that people believe are more pressing than public affairs. In the main, politics is a matter of tertiary concern.

Tertiary not as in a tertiary institution but as the third rung down in the active interest of voters. The conclusion:

What does it mean? At best, the U.S. will have bad political leaders, chosen by low information voters. At worst, American democracy will slowly shrivel due to widespread ignorance.

Ignorance seldom leads to happy endings.

Yet when it comes down to it, the main force in forming opinions are those that produce the media reports everyone depends on for their political information. And as they are as stupid generally in their voting patterns as the lowest of the low information voters wherever the solution might lie, it is not in getting people to become more informed by reading the press.

The president who never was but should have been

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I was going to drop a personal note to Mary Kissel about the American election but as Sinclair warned Samuel J, his post has drawn me into this once again. So while I am here let me bring into this my post mortem on the American election published in the January-February Quadrant. The article is about the various elements that went into the Obama win. But there is also this that I wrote about Mitt Romney which is a fact of political life that all too few seem to appreciate:

Romney was far and away the best candidate available to the Republicans. In an environment of the politics of personal destruction, there was virtually no element of his life history that could be used against him. He was conservative to an exceptional degree. He was personally warm and humane. He had a professional background that made him almost ideal in trying to find a way through the fiscal mess previous administrations had created. He would have rid the USA of Obama’s impending health care disaster while being able to work with the states to make a system of health care universally available. And on foreign policy he would have supported our Western way of life against a rising tide of totalitarian regimes of various denominations. In each of these aspects he presented a fundamental difference from Obama. But he lost, so let us discuss the reasons why.

And let me just dwell on the one element in what I wrote above that almost no one seems to understand where it says: Mitt Romney “was conservative to an exceptional degree.” It really ought not to have mattered to any conservative since all you had to know was that he wasn’t Barack Obama but since Romney was much much more than that the question does remain why so many people who ought to have known better preferred to take their cues from The New York Times and Washington Post rather than – as just an example of what they might have done – reading Romney’s No Apology instead. It is a book that, cover to cover, could just as easily have been written by Ronald Reagan. And I can only say that if you didn’t do everything you could to see Romney in the White House, you share some of the heavy responsibility for the policies and problems we are enduring today. The effort and political cost of trying to shave some measly and near infinitesimal proportion of the level of government spending is only one of the outcomes America and the rest of us will have to endure. And so far as any single policy question that has already or will show up at the White House over the next four years, the one thing I am very confident about is that Romney’s first instincts would have been similar to mine and to most of those who show up on this site. They would certainly have been different from Obama’s.

And just who was this mystery Republican candidate – so filled with charisma, so potentially popular, so completely electable and yet so deeply conservative – where was this mystery candidate who stood in the wings rather than come forward? Who was this person who might have won where Romney only just fell short. You know, the one who would have turned the media from insanely hostile into being no more than slightly on the negative side of neutral? You know, the candidate who could make all those promises to cut back on welfare and yet have the vote of at least half of the 47% locked up. You know the one who might have picked up say 100 votes in those 59 precincts in Philadelphia where Romney did not get a single one.

No candidate is perfect but if I was going to point out a flawed candidate from the last election, the one I would choose would certainly not be Mitt Romney. That so many who think they are this side of the fence could not see how pivotal the election was and how important it was that Romney win and Obama lose makes me wonder just how impaired their political judgment must be. And that they could not see the virtues of Romney makes me wonder even more.

Why aren’t the dissidents in the majority?

Having put up a post on Janet Yellen, the Vice Chair of the Federal Reserve in the US, I now find in today’s AFR that she’s hot favourite to become the next Chairman when Bernanke leaves. I, of course, expect nothing less from Obama. He has a knack for those kinds of things, but even so.

And while the article was naturally all about what a great choice her appointment would be, there were two very interesting side notes to give a bit of balance and perhaps some reason for second thoughts. First there was this:

Her record is not without fault. Yellen ran the San Francisco Fed – when it was right in the eye of the sub-prime storm – from 2004 to 2010, before Barack Obama promoted her to her current role as vice-chairman.

Two huge mortgage lenders – Countrywide and WAMU – collapsed under her watch.

Wow, she was the one responsible for overseeing Countrywide! Obviously just the person to run the entire show. And then there is a discussion of the other candidate for the Fed chair whose views seem to coincide with my own. From the article:

Yellen dismissed the views of dissidents such as Richard Fisher of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas who say [current] policies incite risky investing, distort markets and store up trouble for the future. . . .

Fisher is an emphatic opponent of QE and ultra-low rates. He argues they distort financial markets, defy an orderly exit and could fuel inflation.

This is the view of “dissidents”? It is surely the plainest common sense. The real worry is that central banks are now run by people who cannot understand what incredible risks are being run and just how badly it could all turn out.

UN’s climate change chief acknowledges 17-year pause in global temperature rises!

These people have no shame. From The Australian:

THE UN’s climate change chief, Rajendra Pachauri, has acknowledged a 17-year pause in global temperature rises, confirmed recently by Britain’s Met Office, but said it would need to last ’30 to 40 years at least’ to break the long-term global warming trend.

Plain and simple, in his view we will have to wait another fifteen years to see if global warming hysteria is a fraud and a con. Meanwhile, continue to ruin your economies just in case. The harm such people have done is immense. And what does he say to all this:

Overall, Dr Pachauri said, ‘we aren’t doing all that well’ in global attempts to combat climate change.

I would say, instead, that we have done really well since even he agrees that temperatures have stopped rising. What a bag of wind. What a fraud and a con this global warming has been, in exact keeping with all of the other socialist idiocies of the past century or two.

Meanwhile, in a bit of grandiose condescension, in the caption under the picture we read:

Rajendra Pachauri, the chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, said in Melbourne yesterday everyone has the right to question science.

Will they give him the flick at the UN. You must be kidding. He gets to keep his job, travel the world in first class luxury and live in air conditioned hotel suites at our expense.

Low-information voters

A low-information is someone who fulfills at least one but possibly both the following criteria: ignorant and stupid. If you start stupid at an IQ of 95 or less, and ignorant which begins by encompassing the products of our education system but then moves on to include anyone who never reads a newspaper and gets most of their political news from the TV, then we are looking at a very large part of the voting population. It’s bad news territory for people of the right.

The post I have just been looking at has introduced me to another website called Upworthy which is designed by the American left for the low-information voter in the US, that is, for the ignorant and stupid which by no means excludes the highly educated. The title of this post is “Upworthy — or, How we are losing the internet to lowest of low information young liberals”. Here is the central para in the post but if you are interested in politics and how to affect the future, you need to read the whole thing:

There is this website called Upworthy which is one giant liberal activist social media machine which creates viral social media memes in the cause of liberal political activism.

Unless you are a direct beneficiary of all of the spoils of the socialist apparatus – a bureaucrat somewhere, a member of the “helping professions”, a welfare recipient, an educator or perhaps a journalist of some sort – the main reason anyone is actually on the left is because they are too shallow or too lazy to bother to think things out. The young are typically on the left but it is hardly because they are “idealistic”. It is because they know virtually nothing about how anything works so all they have to base their judgments on is some vague infantile notion of right and wrong. The people at Upworthy understand this perfectly well and are determined with the passage of time to turn these same young fools into middle aged fools and then into older fools after that. Some of these will drop out over time as they see and learn through life, but in the meantime, the very people whose lives are being blighted the the greatest extent by the Obamas and Gillards along with the rest of the unproductive socialist class are being conned into believing how clever and sophisticated they are when I’m afraid they are not.

The reality is: if you vote for a party of the left, you’re not cool, you’re not savvy, you’re not with it. You are a jerk. And not only do I think so, so do the people you are voting for. If you think Obama or Gillard have a high opinion of the people who vote them into office you are a product of one more delusion to go with all of the rest.

Fixing Europe’s problems

The bow is under the waves and what will happen next will be somewhat slow motion but it is hard to see a good outcome any time soon. I’ve come across this article a couple of times but its first para really is incredible:

EU GDP drops huge. In 2012, they didn’t have a single quarter of growth.

Then this a bit deeper into the article:

The debts they have accrued are eating them alive. Their economies cannot grow fast enough to keep up. They have entered what is known as the death spiral. Because of the heavy government interference in markets, and the artificial low interest rates the EU Central bank is imposing, capital is locked. It doesn’t turn over and won’t cannot be allocated through the marketplace to more productive resources.

The answer to these problems is right there in the para but who can do it? They need to encourage private sector to grow which means public sector spending has to be cut back with a chainsaw. Regulation has to be pared to the bone and then a little more after that. Interest rates need to rise (yes, rise!). Business taxes have to fall. Governments have to show they love their entrepreneurial class.

There, fixed it. Now you just need to get someone voted in to do it and things will be back to normal by around 2016.

But let’s not be too pessimistic. A fall in GDP is not necessarily a sign of doom and devastation. Cuts to useless, wasteful public spending show up in the national accounts as exactly that, as a fall in GDP. The process of getting the structure of production right is to redirect resources into value adding activities. I don’t live there and pay not that much attention to the detail but recovery must start with less public spending while business is enticed out of the bunker after five years of an incredible battering. Recessions don’t go on forever. Recoveries do come, and often when least expected. For the moment government spending does not appear to be going up and may even have begun to fall as a proportion of total output. It will be interesting to see where things are a year from now.

You want insane, I’ll show you insane

The title is “Germany’s Green Nightmare”. It is an article that can only be described as surreal. Read it for yourself but while you do, keep the following in mind as you try to work out how we have entered the world we have entered.

New federal elections are scheduled by the end of 2013, and in view of the overwhelming popularity of ‘renewable’ ideology in the populace, all political parties that have chances to form the next government are intensely committed to continue their vigorous support for the ongoing ‘energy transition’.

Mitt Romney – the President who should have been

my political views in 2012

As the survey result showed, I had a 91% overlap with the political views of Mitt Romney, and truth to tell, I have still not recovered from the American election and the disappearance of Romney from the public stage. As discussed in my Quadrant article on Lessons for the Australian election, he would have been the perfect president for our times.

Romney was far and away the best candidate available to the Republicans. In an environment of the politics of personal destruction, there was virtually no element of his life history that could be used against him. He was conservative to an exceptional degree. He was personally warm and humane. He had a professional background that made him almost ideal in trying to find a way through the fiscal mess previous administrations had created. He would have rid the USA of Obama’s impending health care disaster while being able to work with the states to make a system of health care universally available. And on foreign policy he would have supported our Western way of life against a rising tide of totalitarian regimes of various denominations. In each of these aspects he presented a fundamental difference from Obama.

Whether the pieces can be put together again after this loss is something I very much doubt but time does heal at least some of the wounds some of the time. But a tragic outcome all the same.