Less an outrage than an omen

Brett Stephens discusses Anti-Zionism Isn’t Anti-Semitism? Someone Didn’t Get the Memo. Here’s the conclusion.

Progressives will have to come to their own reckoning about what to do about the burgeoning anti-Semitism in their midst. As for Jews, they should take the events of the last few days less as an outrage than as an omen.

Oddly, though, one of the few protections Jews now have is that the vast majority still vote for parties of the left. When that eventually stops, you can only imagine how bad things will then become.

And since we’re here, might as well mention this by Melanie Phillips: Why western mobs are now sticking it to the Jews. This is how it starts:

Anyone who imagined that with the Gaza cease-fire the antisemitism that erupted around the west would correspondingly die down has been sorely mistaken.

It has not only continued to become ever more brazen and intimidatory but, astonishing this may seem, it has now morphed into something even more chilling. The toxic core of it, the Israel libel that fuels the onslaught, has become an axiomatic lie and a supposed marker of public conscience.

What some of us warned about the Labour party’s antisemitism under Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership has now proved all too true.  This malignity was not confined to the hard-left. It reflected a terrible development that had poisoned the entire “progressive” world and was rippling out beyond even that.

Very depressing but worth reading right through long though it may be.

Absolutely believable

Think of this: A Sample of 950 Military Ballots Were Recently Audited In Georgia and All Went for Joe Biden.

Both the left and the right know this is totally believable. The right because they can easily believe that the left would do this to steal the election, and the left because stealing the election is what they would wish to do if they were otherwise about to lose.

The only difference is that the left would never mention it, and if it is mentioned, would deny it could possibly have ever happened.

The accuracy of Covid tests

Saw this as a comment here.

Bayesian conditional probability is being completely ignored. Let’s say a COVID-19 test is 90% accurate and 1 out of 100 people have COVID-19. You test positive for COVID-19, what’s the chance the test is correct? 100-1=99 people don’t have COVID-19 but 99×10%= ~10 will falsely test positive. The probability that you actually have COVID-19 is only 1/(1+10)= ~9%. ~90% of positive cases/deaths are FALSE!

Bayesian probability is, of course, the only way to validate such tests accurately. BTW read the whole article:

Nobel Prize Virologist Calls Current Policy Of Mass Vaccination “A Serious Mistake”…”Medical Error”

Seeking the underlying Covid agenda

From the real story of the Chinese flu.

The virus was not the cause for global catastrophe. It was the response to the virus that crippled the global economy and our society. The disease was not nearly as damaging as the “cure” for the disease.

While it’s important to get to the bottom of what exactly happened in China regarding the virus itself, this does not change the fundamental nature of the COVID-19 pandemic. First and foremost, the *disease itself* is not particularly lethal. With a corrupt, shoddy testing system and an average age of death similar to our average lifespans, COVID-19, had it not been elevated to such an insane level of discourse, would have been understood as just another respiratory illness season. COVID Mania is a toothless endeavor without the information operation attached to it.

This is why the most important thing to uncover is not the origin of the virus itself, but the origin of the information operation that led to the catastrophic effects from insane policies supposedly designed to deal with the virus. I have written about this subject at length. A good starting point is my article from April, titled, “How COVID-19 became a disinformation operation wrapped in a virus.

We have firm, indisputable evidence that the Chinese government ran a disinformation operation attached to the virus, which did far more damage to the world in the form of spreading fear and panic across the globe. The Chinese government operation succeeded in shutting down the global economy and striking a devastating blow to China’s adversaries when they decided, based on China’s quack science recommendations, to enforce self-sabotage in the form of lockdowns, curfews, and the like.

It was entirely about the American election in 2020, with the anti-Trump left worldwide joining in along with the media.

You will not expel them

The best article I have seen on the recently-ended conflict: Hamas’s forever war against Israel has a glitch, and it isn’t Iron Dome. This is the glitch, and it is related to a story, told at the very end of the article, of a meeting between two top Israeli generals and General Giap, who led the Vietnamese army against the Americans.

When the Israelis rose to leave, Giap suddenly turned to the Palestinian issue. “Listen,” he said, “the Palestinians are always coming here and saying to me, ‘You expelled the French and the Americans. How do we expel the Jews?’”

The generals were intrigued. “And what do you tell them?”

“I tell them,” Giap replied, “that the French went back to France and the Americans to America. But the Jews have nowhere to go. You will not expel them.”

I am not sure how positive that is about the future, but it is undoubtedly the truth. Fascinating article from end to end and well worth your time.

Wake me when it’s over

Commercial programs like The Project have bought in to Woke big time. Picture: Ten

Commercial programs like The Project have bought into Woke big time.

I saw this article this morning – Woke is a genius brand, and a threat to our way of life – and was going to put it up but now they have put it on the front page of the online edition so it must have attracted a lot of readers besides myself. It really is exceptional. These are the elements identified of the woke brand but you need to go to the article to see these fleshed out.

You need to know your market
You need a brand promise.
You need a brand personality
You need a mission statement
You need a brand book that explains how the brand behaves in all circumstances and how it relates to the world
You need a brand strategy to dominate the competition
You need to identify what is known as the “customer journey” that maps the experience with the brand
You need “full funnel” marketing that builds awareness, consideration, and purchase
You need a social media strategy
You need point of sale
You need brand-specific DIY manuals with step-by-step instructions on how to buy in

He finishes with this:

Who owns this brand?

Everyone who wants a piece. It sells a grand narrative of achieving social justice through a collection of half thought out assertions. In reality, woke threatens to undermine the values of Western civilisation.

And who could he have in mind about this? Thousands of students join climate rally in Melbourne.

Protesters gather in Melbourne’s Treasury Gardens for a climate rally on Friday.

As we read: ‘Josie, 14, from Richmond High School said not enough adults were taking action so students had to do it now. “It’s such a big issue. We have to step up,” she said.’

Thank goodness for all of these visionary 14-year olds.

Completing my short course in economics

Pilot Mechanical Pencils

The first half was my post on Value added and public spending. Growth only occurs where the value of what is produced is greater than the value of the resources that have been used up during production. There was a time when everyone understood that, even economists. Alas no longer. But there is a second element that matters, and that is the price mechanism. Unless you have a functioning price mechanism, where market prices reflect relative scarcity, you cannot tell what anything actually costs.

Which brings me to this: I, Mechanical Pencil: Why a socialist economy can never work. There you will see why the price mechanism matters and how crucial it is that the prices in the market are actually set by people who are trying to earn a living from what they sell. This is what I say about the price mechanism:

This is so important that almost nothing is as crucial as this for ensuring our prosperity continues. Without a functioning price mechanism, in which businesses set their own prices for themselves without government involvement, an economy absolutely will not work. Unless businesses are permitted to set their own prices based on their own production costs and customer demand, you are guaranteed to live in poverty.

The buffoons who “manage” the Victorian economy are creating disaster. It is why the most important element in the Victorian budget dealt with mental health: ‘Very targeted’: Acting Premier defends mental health levy.

Business owners have warned the levy set out in Thursday’s budget is a tax on employment and will hit those in the retail, hospitality and tourism sectors hard.

“These are very targeted, appropriate, well-thought-out revenue initiatives that impact less than 5 per cent of employers,” Mr Merlino said.

“Many of those are multinational companies. It is very targeted, and in terms of the benefit to businesses, right across the state of Victoria is massive….

The acting Premier rejected the notion that Victorian businesses – which were badly hit by the state’s second wave of the coronavirus pandemic caused by government failures in hotel quarantine and contact tracing – were being penalised for the state’s mistakes.

He also said a $4 billion budget blowout over the past two years on Victoria’s Big Build project had no impact on funding mental health services as the two were in different funding streams – the former in capital spending, and the latter on service delivery.

Looneys everywhere.

Value added and public spending

The video is on Value Added – which I did many years ago as part of my economics course. Much too long to watch, but it’s there if you are interested. Alas, value added is virtually no longer even mentioned inside an economics course, and even when it is it is never dwelt upon.

This mishmash is how value added is defined at Google. This is about as close to what you might get in an economics course today, and then only if they are discussing the National Accounts. It’s never mentioned as part of macro generally.

1. the amount by which the value of an article is increased at each stage of its production, exclusive of initial costs. “the proportions of both total output and value added fell”

2. the addition of features to a basic line or model for which the buyer is prepared to pay extra. “value-added digital technology”

Value added was once properly understood as the difference between the cost of the resources used up in some production process and the revenue stream generated by selling the products that have been produced. It was about creating economic growth and higher living standards. Government spending is almost never value adding, and I include the word “almost” since occasionally, very occasionally, governments actually create more value then they use up. There is no such government anywhere in the world today.

I am reminded of all of this by the release of the Victorian budget and the shamelessly shallow response in the media. Treasurer goes all in on the Robin Hood approach to funding.

If you ever needed proof of how confident the Andrews government is of winning the next election, look no further than Thursday’s budget.

Handing down his seventh budget, Treasurer Tim Pallas resembled Robin Hood as he hit developers, big business and affluent home buyers with higher taxes to fund billions of dollars in spending on mental health, hospitals and schools.

Boosting taxes is rarely popular at the ballot box. But next year, the state government’s tax revenue will increase 13.2 per cent, with an average annual increase of 6.9 per cent over four years.

Justifying the tax grab, Mr Pallas said he was simply asking Victorians who had done well out of the pandemic – successful businesses and those lucky enough to hold on to their jobs – to help those who had suffered the most. It’s a strong argument.

This was once known as eating one’s seed corn. This is entirely using up your capital base with no replacement in sight. This has gone even beyond Keynesian moonshine, where they used to pretend that the problem they were solving was caused by too much saving. I guarantee you Australians are not saving too much, nor is anyone else. Now it is just spending for spending sake.

And let me thank Rodney for finding this video and alerting me to its existence on Youtube.