Australians watching American politics according to the NYT

If you have had any doubts about the quality of insights found in the New York Times, they can now be put to rest: Australians Watching American Politics: ???!!!!***$%%#. Here’s how it starts:

Australians used to talk about American politics the way they talk about sport — they followed the ups and downs, marveled at the competitor, and tried to game out who would win.

This year? It’s more like the discussion of a car wreck involving a neighbor or an uncle.

For months, friends and even strangers have been asking if my relatives are healthy, worried they may have perished in the American coronavirus catastrophe. And this week, after a debacle of a debate and the news that President Trump and Melania Trump had tested positive for the coronavirus, I saw and heard more than just empathy — also shock, dismay, fear, heartbreak and just head-shaking alarm.

Van Badham, a commentator who often writes for The Guardian (and occasionally the New York Times Opinion section), replied to my tweet about Mr. Trump’s positive test result with what many Australians seem to be feeling:

“I just
I can’t
I mean
What
Oh god”

My very reaction and so well put. All the news that’s fit to be ignored.

Might also add in this from Paul Krugman on the NYT editorial page: Trump Is Killing the Economy Out of Spite. So much to choose from but this will have to do:

Last year Donald Trump called Nancy Pelosi, the House speaker, a “nasty, vindictive, horrible person.” Actually, she isn’t — but he is.

Trump’s vindictiveness has become a major worry as the election approaches. He has already signaled that he won’t accept the result if he loses, which seems increasingly likely though not certain. Nobody knows what chaos, possibly including violence, he may unleash if the election doesn’t go his way.

Even aside from that concern, however, a defeated Trump would still be president for two and a half months. Would he spend that time acting destructively, in effect taking revenge on America for rejecting him?

Well, we got a preview of what a lame-duck Trump presidency might look like Tuesday. Trump hasn’t even lost yet, but he abruptly cut off talks on an economic relief package millions of Americans desperately need (although as of Thursday he seemed to be backtracking). And his motivation seems to have been sheer spite.

Why do we need economic relief? Despite several months of large employment gains, America has only partly recovered from horrific job losses in the early months of the pandemic — and the pace of recovery has slowed to a relative crawl. All indications are that the economy will remain weak for many months, maybe even years.

How long it takes for recovery to be complete, in spite of all the employment gains already, will depend on who wins the election. Obama-Biden couldn’t effect a recovery following the GFC although they had eight years to try. Not in a single year did the economy grow faster than three percent! You know Einstein’s definition of political insanity about continuing with policies that fail. I only hope we are not given the opportunity to find out for ourselves as the Democrats once again try their Keynesian economic magic.

The buffoon in the White House

The buffoon in the White House just brokered two Middle East Peace Accords, something that 71 years of political intervention and endless war failed to produce.

The buffoon in the White House is the first president that has not engaged us in a foreign war since Eisenhower.

The buffoon in the White House has had the greatest impact on the economy, bringing jobs and lowering unemployment to the Black and Latino population of ANY other president. Ever.

The buffoon in the White House has exposed the deep, widespread, and long-standing corruption in the FBI, the CIA, the NSA, and the Republican and Democratic parties.

The buffoon in the White House turned NATO around and had them start paying their dues.

The buffoon in the White House neutralized the North Koreans, stopped them from developing a further nuclear capability, sending missiles toward Japan, and threatening the West Coast of the US.

The Buffoon in the White House turned our relationship to the Chinese around, brought hundreds of business back to the US and revived the economy. Hello.

The buffoon in the White House has accomplished the appointing of two Supreme Court Justices and close to 300 Federal Judges.

The buffoon in the White House lowered your taxes and caused your stock market to move to record levels over 100 times, positively impacting the retirements of tens of millions of citizens.

The buffoon in the White House fast-tracked the development of a COVID Vaccine – it will be available within weeks – we still don’t have a vaccine for SARS, Bird Flu, Ebola, or a host of diseases that arose during previous administrations.

The buffoon in the White House rebuilt our military which the Obama administration had crippled and had fired 214 key generals and admirals in his first year of office.

The buffoon in the White House uncovered widespread pedophilia in the government and in Hollywood. The buffoon in the White House is exposing worldwide sex trafficking of minors and bringing children home to their families.

The buffoon in the White House. Works for free and has lost well over 2 billion dollars of his own money in serving – and does all of this and much more in the face of relentless undermining and opposition from people who are threatened because they know they are going to be exposed as the criminals that they are if he is re-elected.

I got it, you don’t like him. How special of you. He is serving you and ALL the American people. What are you doing besides calling him names?”
Taken from

The future won’t be so bad but only if you were born into it

 

For us, however, the future looks pretty grim but that’s only because it is different from the world in which we grew up. A note to a friend just sent:

 
We have lived in the best of times, but those who come in the future will think so too about themselves. All of the innovations we have become used to will still be around, plus a few more. But freedom and self-directed lives are not for everyone so when they largely disappear hardly anyone will notice. We are heading into a modern mediaeval feudal structure with the popular will as irrelevant as it is possible to be. The people I deal with who are grateful to Dan Andrews astound me, but they are happy with the lockdown and wonder who wants to go out after 7:30 at night, since there is nowhere to go. And the slow deterioration of our living standards, to the point where things like world travel are only for the elites, will just become part of life. We will live in genuinely fascist societies, the kind of national socialist communities set up by Mussolini. My best paper as an undergraduate was titled, “Fascist Criticism of Liberalism”. I wrote it from a liberal perspective while recognising millions of others agreed with the Fascists. You have to be a philosopher to believe that free speech and free thought are positive features of society. All that is coming to an end, and may not be resurrected for a thousand years, if ever. The future will think of us as an aberration, something in the way we now think about ancient Athens. Just saw this as a comment on a blogsite:
 
“Estimates peg the population of the city of Rome in the 4th century around 1.7MM. It was the greatest city the world of that time had ever seen. Two hundred years later less than 100k lived there. Sic Gloria Transit.”
 
The best book I may have ever read is The Swerve by Stephen Greenblatt. It overlaps historically Rome in biblical times, Rome in Mediaeval times and Rome today. Cannot recommend any book more highly. What it does is underscore the way the future is never determined, that societies break down and that the world as it will be is for all practical purposes unrelated to how it now is. One of the great lessons I learned in studying the History of Economics was that living standards in Europe reached their peak in 180 AD with the death of Marcus Aurelius and then fell for the next 1000 years only returning to their previous Roman heights in around 1600. When Europeans first reached China in numbers around 1700, the Chinese found nothing we had to offer of any interest to them. You just have to enjoy the world as you find it and then get on with life. Sad, but could be worse. I guarantee your daughter won’t find things as pessimistic as we do, but when (and if) she does, she’ll just have to go with the flow.
 
Every one of the bits of tech in the vid were the latest thing as I was growing up. Many of them no one born in the last thirty years would even know what they are.
 

“Covid is God’s gift to the Left”

The heading is from Jane Fonda and she is referring to the Chinese flu.

You could tell just exactly where the moderator in the VPs debate was starting from when she began with the Democrat’s only issue, the China Virus. It then came back again when Kamala Harris focused on the mega-downturn that followed the lockdown that was introduced to deal with the Virus as if that had in any way been a failure of government policy. The virus was not introduced deliberately, but once it arose, it became their opportunity to tear everything down that has been built over the past century and a half.

The Democrats have nothing. The left offer nothing. These are nut-case socialists. There is not a single reason to vote for them since no policy of theirs will improve the life of a single person other than their leaders. Only if people obliterate completely from their minds how well the economy was going prior to the forecasts of potentially millions of deaths that were sprouted everywhere back in March would anyone even contemplate for a moment turning to Joe Biden and Kamala Harris as an answer to existing problems.

I know I am not supposed to say it or even think it, but I cannot help believing that the virus was amplified to the fullest extent by the left and the media to provide momentum to an absolutely dead Democrat policy platform in the face of Donald Trump’s extraordinary successes that exist at every turn, both in foreign policy and domestically. 

Fonda gives the game away. Covid plus its economic consequences is all the left has, but if they parley all this into a win next month, it will come with the destruction of the American economy and more widely, even perhaps the destruction of Western civilisation as we know it. The application of the same approach to the Green New Deal based on massive public spending all directed towards massive increases in unproductive forms of investment, will leave America and the West looking like Venezuela today.

It may take upwards of a decade, but if that is the road we travel, the end will be inevitable. This is the only vulnerability the Republicans have, but it may yet be large enough to turn the election in the left’s direction.

It is Jane Fonda’s “gift to the left” and even Kamala was able to make a feature case out of a problem for which the left can provide no new answers at all.

Not so reliable

It’s a funny business, but the people who know me best sent this kind of message along, and the stranger part is that I completely agree with them. Both have been sent from my oldest Canadian friends: This is from Roy and Ginette, addressed to Susie:

We are sending you and Steve our congratulations on the occasion of your 40th anniversary.  40 years of wedded bliss is a two way street filled with love and compromises.  Since Roy has known Steven for considerably longer than 40 years he quite sure that you deserve a medal for forgiving and perhaps even embracing Steve’s  many idiosyncrasies, which come as part of a package with his intense intellect and deep loyalty to his friends and family.

With that in mind we are presenting you with an honorary Victoria Cross, Canada’s highest honour. It is given for extraordinary valour and devotion to duty, criteria we are confident that you manifested time and again over the past 40 years.  You can display this VC whenever you think Steve needs to be reminded just how wonderful you are, and have been for him.

And this was from Sheldon and Irene whom I’ve known even longer:

Dear Susie and Steve:Best Wishes on your 40th.What an achievement.What’s this rumour I have been hearing that Susie is being awarded a medal by the Queen?I hope that you two are looking forward to the next 40 as much as Irene and I are to the next 48? (Can you imagine???)Are you getting to see the boys and grandchildren? From what I read, the restrictions in Melbourne are a lot more stringent than here.Once again, congratulations. With love,Irene & Shel

The secret of a happy marriage: marry someone like Susie. On the other hand, as I was relating to friends just yesterday from Woody Allen’s autobiography, he said that his parents were the most badly matched couple in history, like a marriage between Hannah Arendt and Nathan Detroit both of whom I know quite well. In fact, I then sang for all and sundry “Why It’s Good Old Reliable Nathan” which I knew from end to end, to my surprise since once I started I could keep on going through to the end.

On the other hand, I doubt I could quote as extensively from Hannah Arendt, or would want to.

Our 40th anniversary is today

Today, October 4, is our 40th wedding anniversary and other than in dwelling on how many years have gone by, and by mathematical necessity how many are left, I could not be more happy. When I was young, teenager-ish, I came across an article about Charles Boyer’s own 40th anniversary.* Boyer was the ultimate French luuver, and there he had been married to a single person for his entire life, rather than being a man with many women, as is the ideal in these decadent times of ours. And in reply, my mother said that the true sign of a great lover is that he can keep the same woman interested for the whole of her life. In fact, literature, up until that time, was about finding and winning the perfect girl, Romeo and Juliet say. Today, such a notion would not work for Hollywood nor for most “romantic” fiction. Certainly very few boys would buy into it. It is numbers that matter, a Don Giovanni type love-life that counts as the standard of excellence. A bad standard since it is one that leads to so much unhappiness and discontent. Marrying your high school “sweetheart” is the last thing on anyone’s mind for virtually everyone in our Western world today. And not until I have arrived at this moment myself did it really occur to me that this truly is the ideal, just as my Mother had said all those years ago, bless her.

So here we are at 40 years. Alas, were these normal times we would be having a big, big party, bringing together all of our friends, many old who were actually at the wedding, some more recent, and with it being a Sunday we could have started early, gone on all day and kept going deep into the night. But being in the odd times we are, it will just have to be a catered romantic dinner for two around our kitchen table with our children and grandchildren on Zoom.

The story of how we met I have told many times but will tell it again. It was at a Fancy Dress party – on April Fools Day, in fact. I had been invited by an old friend I used to know from my early days in Melbourne. It was a Saturday night and I came dressed as an American tourist, in a Hawaiian shirt, shorts, thongs and a roll of toilet paper in my back pocket. And into this room came the prettiest, most engaging girl I had seen in a very long time who was easily the most enchanting woman I had ever come upon. Upbeat, happy, full of laughter , good vibes, and adventure. She came as a 1920s flapper which she was the perfect embodiment of. She worked the room coming towards where I was, and finally made it to me after about an hour. My eyes had, of course, never left her – and as she tells it herself, she was working her way towards me since I, bless my soul, was her perfect type, at least from a distance. 

We then sat and chatted, talked about this and that – I actually still remember the conversation surprisingly well – and then I offered to drive her home when it was all over, in my beat-up 25-year old Cortina. Which would have been fine except that the car would not start and needed a push-start from everyone else to finally get the engine to turn over. As you may see, she was definitely not looking for wealth and status. So we drove out to the airport and back to charge the engine, and then after a night of more chat and more coffee and cake, we went on the Sunday morning to see her best friends to see how I would fit into her life, and then we went to see my best friends, so that I could do the same. And then we met again on the Monday in the city since we were both working not all that far from each other.

But this morning at work was the moment that mattered. I told the story at our wedding and a number of times since. It is known, and I do mention it from time to time, that before I became the sober man of the right and a proper bourgeoisie, I had been a long-haired hippy new-left loon, even having gone so far as to live in a “commune” in Vancouver, hanging out with all forms of disreputable types, of whom I was amongst the more disreputable. This, mind you, when I had already become a B.A./M.A, but not yet PhD. I was at work in the morning in the Economics Department of one of our Big Four major banks, and I went to the chap who did the mining analysis and forecasts and asked to borrow his copy of the I Ching. The I Ching, if you don’t know it, is an ancient Chinese “oracle” to which you can pose various questions about what to do, and which will provide answers that usually requires a certain kind of wavering judgment and careful interpretation to make sense of. My friend David used the I Ching, along with his astrological charting plus numerology, to make his forecasts for the mining industry. Bear that in mind next time you think about buying shares, whether bank shares or mining shares. I might just mention that he eventually left the bank because he was sure that there was going to be a California earthquake as foretold by Edgar Cayce, that would send a tidal wave across the Pacific leading to mass drownings in Melbourne. David therefore sold up his beautiful house in Carlton and moved to Nimbin. I only once again ever saw him, at an economics conference, where he presented a paper on the use of astrology in making economic forecasts.

But on this day, being already very familiar with the I Ching from my earlier days, I asked to borrow his copy, which is the last time I ever used it or any other form of useless mythological forecasting technique, other than, of course, economic theory. And I asked David for the book and put the fateful question: Should I marry this girl? I might also here mention that I introduced these devices to my children by telling them that they are a fun part of life, but the moment they find even the slightest tweak of a hint of a notion entering their heads that these things might accurately foretell anything, they must be discarded and never ever used again. That is my advice to everyone. Let me now return to that moment in 1978.

And here was the point about the question. I was a young lad, only just having turned thirty. I was living the life that many young lads at that time of life foolishly prefer to live. And having met the perfect girl, the reason I was going into this further investigation of the proper course of action was, I am ashamed to admit, so that I might find some reason, anything at all, where is that straw for me to grasp, not to continue along this path towards marriage, but so that I could have some reason not to. And as you might know with all of these devices, there is a certain fuzziness that allows you to read things in many different ways. An easy way out, right?

I tossed the coins and then the most astonishing thing happened. And this was the only time this had ever happened. It gave me an absolutely clear answer that was unambiguous in stating without any possible way to equivocate: YOU SHOULD MARRY THIS GIRL!

And it was even worse than that. The way the oracle works is that there are almost always “Change Lines” in the result so that what might be the advice at the moment of consultation will over time slither into its opposite or at least towards some other answer. But here, for the first and only time in all the times I had used the I Ching, there were no Change Lines. How it was on that day in 1988 would be how it would be for all times. Honestly, I was truly amazed since nothing like it had ever happened before. It is a rare occurrence, I can tell you.

And so it has turned out. The entire universe in its cosmic unfolding had told me in no uncertain terms that this was the girl I must marry if I sought happiness and a blessed life of marital contentment that would continue forward exactly how it had  begun. I now know this is the only form of true happiness, the only one that counts. The greatest of all of G-d’s blessings and gifts is a happy marriage. 

I will add something else which I have only found out recently, but which when I read it turns out to have been exactly what I had been wending my way towards that moment. And in its own way this is as mystical an approach, and no doubt about as accurate as my tossing the coins to consult the I Ching. This time, however, it is by using advanced statistical methods to find your one true love and companion for life (I think this may only works for males, by the way, but perhaps not). Let me quote the text. This is from Amir D. Aczel: Chance: A Guide to Gambling, Love, the Stock Market & Just about Everything Else, p86):

“You will maximize your probability of finding the best spouse if you date about thirty-seven percent of the available candidates in your life, and then choose to stay with the next candidate who is better than all the previous ones.

“This is, indeed, a strange-sounding rule. But mathematicians have proved it works better than any other. The number thirty-seven percent is an approximation of the exact number 1/e, where e is the base for natural logarithms, or 2.71828.” 

That is, you must forego the 63% of future possible partners and stop right there and search no further. The science is settled. You don’t want to go around arguing with science, do you?

We have had a remarkably friction-free 40 years, although I do have to say there is that one area where we do not perfectly line up, and as with many couples, it is with politics. We have managed to work it through, but as it turns out, of the two of us, she is the more conservative, the most hardline on the right. I may waver here or there, but she never, and apparently from a very young age. 

There we are in the photo below, me looking as cheerful and debonair as ever.

The only lesson I feel I have learned in all this time is that what is best in life is to turn seventy and find you have been happily married to the same person for the previous forty years. And you only know it once you have done it for yourself.

* Charles Boyer was the husband of British actress Pat Paterson, whom he met at a dinner party in 1934. The two became engaged after two weeks of courtship and were married three months later. The marriage lasted 44 years until her death.