Feeling the Bern

bern and trump

REVOLUTION!
*SANDERS 60% CLINTON 39%
*TRUMP 35% KASICH 16% CRUZ 12%

Which comes with this additional detail:

Clinton Horror Deja Vu…
NH Brings Rumors of Campaign Implosion…
Biden ruling nothing out…
She lost every demo except 65+…
DICK MORRIS: Falling Apart…
B Team Deployed to Smear…
MOOK SPOOKED: ‘VICTORY’ MEMO…
Backer Urges Campaign: Keep Steinem and Albright Away!
Photo shows American flags crumpled up on HQ floor…
RESULTS: DEM REPUBLICAN…
LIVE: MAP…

It really is gruesome. Neither side has a solid grounding in common sense and sound economics. But half of America would now vote Socialist, on the Democrat side whether Hillary or Sanders it makes hardly a difference.

In 2008 I used to say Anyone But Clinton so I learned a tragic lesson. Now it’s Anyone But Any of the Ones who are Running. Just remember, democracy is the worst system except for all the others that have been tried from time to time.

Iran’s “sweet surrender”

It’s by “a Jordanian-Palestinian politician” but it’s also in the Jerusalem Post: Saudi Arabia is bringing Iran to its knees. This is the opening para:

On January 11, 2016, Iran’s official media confirmed the state had filled the Arak nuclear reactor core with concrete. In short: Iran has killed its flagship nuclear site and its nuclear program is now limited to smaller projects, paperwork, research and, of course, propaganda videos.

Now read the rest. It turns out the bit about Arak is true. This is so extraordinary I have to ask why have I not heard any of it anywhere else before?

The selling of Marco Rubio

We don’t vote in American elections so it is all academic in a way. But it is worth having some sense of who’s doing what and where things are heading. A Malcolm-led Liberal Party may be the best there is across the world, so think about that. This is Mickey Kaus on The Rubio Menace which more or less says the same as I did in my post yesterday on Rubio Would be a Disaster. This might bring out the extent to which the American election cycle is a charade which, given the unstoppable success of Hillary, we knew already. This is Rubio who has taken up the mantle that was supposed to fall to Jeb Bush.

Bush is explicit about his support for mass immigration and amnesty. Rubio has now effectively wormed his way into a position where championing mass immigration and amnesty would involve breaking what seems to be an explicit policy pledge. But anyone who has followed Rubio knows that’s exactly what he’ll do. a) He’s done it before, having opposed amnesty when seeking his Senate seat only to become its front man on arriving in Washington; b) He dissembled when necessary to push the Gang of 8 bill, why not dissemble now? c) The GOP establishment thinks that’s exaclty what he’ll do; d) His retreat from the Gang of 8 has been grudging and weaselly, always giving as little ground as he thinks he can get away with until he discovers he has to give a little more; e) He still hasn’t repudiated the bill, let alone apologized for it; and most important, f) actually achieving an Enforcement First solution would mean standing up to the Democrats, who will demand quick legalization, and the bulk of the GOP Congressional caucus, who will be happy to settle for a fig-leaf of enforcement they can try to sell their voters (not unlike the fig leaf added to the Gang of 8 by the for-show-only Corker-Hoeven “double the border patrol” amendment). The current flash mob of GOP representatives streaming into Rubio’s camp suggests they recognize him as someone who won’t make their lives difficult — when that’s exactly what is required.

Rubio’s not going to drive Jeff Sessions from the capital. But you can count on the combination of President Rubio and Speaker Ryan to quickly pass an amnesty bill that (like the Gang of 8) contains only the most chimerical guarantees of new enforcement measures. You can also expect them to promote and defend trade, including “trade in services” that involves foreign workers performing those services on American soil. And what about the Sessionsesque suggestion that immigration levels actually be lowered? As one Senate immigration advisor said, “We have a better chance of discovering time travel than getting Rubio-Ryan to take up immigration-reduction bill.”

And on the off chance you are of the opinion that Rubio has that spontaneous human touch, you might like to look at this.

Marco Rubio is running a presidential campaign marked by precision, caution and discipline — so much so that the Florida senator delivers the exact same speech, jokes, quips and one-liners wherever he goes.

When he addresses the media, his aides select the reporters who can ask questions, often shutting down follow-ups. During media interviews and presidential debates, Rubio is quick to fall back on the same script that he often delivers before GOP audiences in New Hampshire and Iowa.

His campaign makes sure every room is packed. Lately, that’s because an overflow audience is interested in hearing from the surging candidate. But other times his aides have cut the room in half with drapes, ensuring it’s a standing-room-only crowd.

It’s great theatre, but is it politics?

Rubio would be a disaster

The Republican establishment is now backing Marco Rubio to the hilt against Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. I actually saw Rubio speak in Las Vegas the day before Trump and I could not believe how weak and ineffectual he came across. The words were all right, but the lack of conviction was palpable. No one came away fired up about his prospects, unlike my experience when I had listened to Rand Paul (the year before) or Donald Trump. Hillary will eat Rubio for lunch.

But what makes Rubio likely poison is his lack of creds on border protection. This was published just two months ago, in December, The Ugly Truth About Marco Rubio And His Gang-of-Eight Amnesty Bill and represents a very strong attitude among Republicans:

Rubio was a Jeb Bush acolyte who embraced the Tea Party and ran for senator in Florida against Charlie Crist. Crist was the popular sitting governor in the state and Rubio was thought to be a huge underdog. However, the grassroots embraced Rubio. Just to give you an example, very early on I organized a coalition that endorsed Rubio and encouraged people not to give money to the NRSC over its endorsement of Crist. I even called for NRSC chairman John Cornyn to RESIGN over his decision to get involved in the race on Crist’s behalf.

Back then, Rubio was talking very tough on immigration by necessity. Although Rubio is significantly more conservative than Crist, the conservative base would have never rallied to his side if he had supported amnesty; he would have lost in a landslide. In other words, Rubio’s anti-amnesty position was one of the central promises of his campaign. In fact, Rubio slammed Charlie Crist for being pro-amnesty and very specifically said he opposed giving illegal aliens citizenship. Back then, Marco Rubio sounded like Jeff Sessions on immigration. . . .

Unfortunately, even though Marco Rubio is only in the Senate today because he claimed to be in favor of securing the border and stopping amnesty, his position shifted 180 degrees and he became the front man for the Gang-of-Eight amnesty bill. . . .

Getting beyond the Gang-of-Eight bill, as late as June of this year, Marco Rubio was openly saying that he wanted to make illegal aliens citizens. However, today he tries to muddy the waters about the subject by merely saying he thinks illegal aliens should eventually be able to get green cards. Of course, people who have green cards are allowed to apply for citizenship; so it’s the same difference over the long haul.

I don’t think Rubio can win – he is no JFK – but really what difference would it make if he did. As noted in the article:

If Rubio’s lying, it doesn’t really make much of a difference over the long haul whether you elect him or Hillary because his immigration policies would permanently cement liberals in power without securing the border or doing anything of significance to stop illegal immigration.

If Marco Rubio becomes the President of the United States, the future of our republic depends on Rubio telling the truth this time after he already lied about the same thing to people who walked over broken glass to get him elected.

So now, are you ready to walk over broken glass to get Marco Rubio elected? Choose wisely because if Rubio becomes President and he’s lying about immigration again, it will be the end of the road for conservatism in America.

All you need to know is that Rubio is the choice of the Republican establishment who have been trying to get amnesty passed over the massed opposition of the people who actually vote for Republicans. Rubio would be a disaster as president but why worry? He would anyway almost certainly lose to Hillary if he became the nominee. It is either Trump or Cruz. Rubio is no answer, which is why the media is now doing everything it can to help him along.

MORE ALONG THE SAME LINES: This time from Phyllis Schlafly, as iconic a conservative as there is to be found anywhere: Schlafly unloads on Rubio: ‘He betrayed us all’ with the sub-head, “Conservative icon calls media favorite ‘lackey for the establishment'”. She writes:

“When Marco Rubio ran for the Senate in Florida, I think I was the first one to endorse him,” said Phyllis Schlafly. “I made a trip down to Florida in 2009 just for the purpose of helping him.”

But Schlafly, a legendary conservative activist, author and WND columnist, now says she is bitterly disappointed by Rubio’s record.

“Once he got elected, he betrayed us all,” she told WND. “He said he was against amnesty and against the establishment. And once he got in, right away, he became an agent of the establishment. And now, of course, he’s big for amnesty and letting all the illegal immigrants in. He betrayed us a number of times on that issue.”

Schlafly said she was startled at the magnitude of Rubio’s “betrayal” on amnesty.

“It was so public,” she said.

“He’s a lackey for the establishment now,” she said. “There’s no question they’re picking up as Plan B – or maybe Plan C in this election cycle, or whatever we’re on now – but he certainly is an establishment agent.”

Who do you support for President?

I came out:

Trump 94%
Rubio 91%
Cruz 90%
Santorum 87%
Carson 86%
Paul 84%
Bush 79%
Clinton 15%
Sanders 13%

So far as the parties went:

Republicans 98%
Constitution Party 93%
Libertarians 74%
Democrats 30%

Not much of a surprise to me. You can try it yourself right here.

I might just mention here Conrad Black’s assessment, Donald Trump knows how to make a deal in which he writes:

In fact, Donald Trump is reasonably conservative. He opposes tax breaks for the rich and back-handers for rich cronies, if not as histrionically as Warren Buffett does (though Buffett has often been a beneficiary of them). Moreover, he spares the country the tedious spectacle of politicians ambling about with begging bowls or cupped hands asking for money, because Donald is paying his own way. His presentational methods grate on the nerves of sophisticated people, but it is an Archie Bunker approach by a man who is a successful businessman rather than, like Archie, a blue-collar clock-puncher. And the approach works: He is leading the polls. In a democracy, the people are always right, and if he wins, it will be because an impatient and disserved people wishes it so.

It’s just an opinion, of course, but I do see his point.

Trump has been talking about illegal immigration since 2013

This is from Ann Coulter’s latest column:

In more than a dozen tweets that year — the very year that Marco Rubio nearly destroyed the nation with his amnesty bill, as the “conservative” media cheered him on — Trump repeatedly denounced the maniacal push for amnesty:

— “Immigration reform is fine — but don’t rush to give away our country! Sounds like that’s what’s happening.” (Jan. 30, 2013)

— “Amnesty is suicide for Republicans. Not one of those 12 million who broke our laws will vote Republican. Obama is laughing at @GOP.” (March 19, 2013)

— “Now AP is banning the term ‘illegal immigrants.’ What should we call them? ‘Americans’?! This country’s political press is amazing!” (April 3, 2013)

— “TRUMP: IMMIGRATION BILL A REPUBLICAN ‘DEATH WISH'” (June 4, 2013)

You may not like what he says, but he is certainly consistent. He may even be right, and just think what it means if he is.

The Trump phenomenon has changed everything in American politics

An unusually acute examination of the American election from The Wall Street Journal by John O’Sullivan, Quadrant‘s interim editor. It is now almost universal among elite opinion on the right that Donald Trump is a disaster in the making, with an anyone but Trump the standard response. That there are people who classify themselves as Republican who would vote for Hillary over Trump only proves how empty their views must be about the nature of the problems that must be solved. If they really cannot see the certainty that Hillary would be the final nail in an American decline then it is beyond me why anyone should listen to a thing they say.

It is almost an understatement, at this point, to say that the Trump phenomenon has changed everything in American politics, but it has. Here’s a brief laundry list:

Immigration. From the start of this century, both Democratic and Republican elites have wanted to pass “comprehensive immigration reform” of a broadly liberal kind. Popular opposition prevented this, but the party elites headed off any movement toward a more restrictive approach. Mr. Trump, encouraged by the European migrant crisis, picked up the issue, made it the booster rocket of his campaign and now advances a policy that would reduce immigrant numbers overall. Comprehensive immigration reform is not quite dead, but it is collapsing.

Libertarianism. Young people were said to see it as a respectable modern version of conservatism. But libertarianism and its prophet, Sen. Rand Paul, have been pushed aside by the rush of popular support to Mr. Trump, who represents, if anything, a movement from libertarianism to activist government.

Isolationism versus interventionism. This was going to be the debate between Sen. Paul and Sen. Marco Rubio to determine the future direction of the GOP’s national security policy. Instead, despite remarks on Vladimir Putin that are silly and worse, Mr. Trump has swept aside this debate. He plays to a widespread mood in American life that is perturbed about Mr. Obama’s failing foreign strategy and responds, in effect, that the U.S. should fight “no more unwinnable wars.” Mr. Trump promises that he won’t pick fights but will definitely win those fights he gets into while pursuing a fairly narrow version of America’s national interest.

Reforming the welfare state. Walter Russell Mead, writing in the American Interest, has called for the reform of what he labels the “Blue State Model”—that is, the fiscally failing American welfare state of entitlements and urban programs, resting on budget-busting public sector salaries and pensions. Mr. Mead and others have advanced serious schemes for cuts that would make the system sustainable in the long run. Again, Mr. Trump has sweepingly promised to preserve entitlements against such reforms, discouraging other Republicans from making this tough case.

All this is true, but for myself, the most important change Trump may bring is a weakening of the media’s narrowing the range of acceptable opinion and some lessening of the grip that political correctness has on policy and public discourse. America is heading for the rocks and we will join them if nothing is done to turn things around. It is this most of all that O’Sullivan sees and understands making him alone of all of the major commentators to have accepted that Trump is not an unmitigated bad.

Megan McArdle – idiot

If you would like to see an example of unpersuasive, this one is near the top of the line: How can Trump voters possibly trust this guy? It’s a short article that focuses on how we cannot be sure what a Donald Trump will do as president. I am happy to concede exactly that if she will concede you cannot say what any of the others will do either. And a large part of the reason is that while we ask people running for office what they would do in known circumstances and deal with already existing problems, when they arrive things suddenly spin out of control. But let us look at the issues of the moment through her eyes. She starts by characterising people who lean towards Trump in the following way:

You are sick to death of well-paid folks in Washington and New York and California calling you bigots because of your stance on immigration, trade or foreign policy.

If they did so, I would be offended and such people would have no influence on me. But then writes in the very next sentence:

I don’t happen to agree with you on immigration policy.

Well that’s that. You can now take your snooty condescension and be on your way, you buffoon. And then she concludes with this:

Trump voters seem eager to ignore the fact that their candidate is theirs only until he doesn’t need them.

Well listen, Megan. It is still a political system that needs to work through Congress and the public service. Although Obama may have given you this impression, you are not electing a king, but an administration. There is plenty of politics after an election. And with the media filled with shrews and scolds like yourself, doing things, even the kinds of things people would like done on immigration, will not be as easy as all that.

Is Trump a “conservative”?

I don’t vote according to labels but there is no doubt that so far as modern political labels go, conservative is the closest it gets. This is from an article on Why I Support Donald Trump and Not Ted Cruz which begins by addressing what does it mean to be a “conservative”:

“Conservatism,” as [Russell] Kirk explained it, encompassed an inherent distrust of liberal democracy, staunch opposition to egalitarianism, and an extreme reluctance to commit the United States to global “crusades” to impose American “values” on “unenlightened” countries around the world. Conservatives should celebrate local traditions, customs, and the inherited legacies of other peoples, and not attempt to destroy them. America, Kirk insisted, was not founded on a democratic, hegemonic ideology, but as an expression and continuation of European traditions and strong localist, familial and religious belief. Indeed, Kirk authored a profound biography of Senator Robert Taft, “Mr. Conservative,” who embodied those principles.

It’s a long article and well worth reading through. Here, however, is the core point on why Trump is preferred to Cruz:

What is needed in this nation now is dramatic, even radical change. What is needed is not someone who will simply raise Hell, but someone who will be more like a bull loosed in a terrified china shop. Half measures and regular politicians, “mainstream conservatives” like Ted Cruz, I don’t think can pull it off. Trump, I believe, just maybe can.

“Just maybe can” is a better probability statement than is attached to any other candidate at the present time. Interestingly, and by no means a coincidence since this is a central issue in this election, Byron York has asked Trump what makes him a conservative. Here is the Q and A:

Conservatives are very worried about you. They concede that you’ve brought attention to issues that are important to them, like immigration or radical Islamic terrorism. But they don’t believe you’re one of them. Are you a conservative?

I am, and I’ll tell you what will happen, I think, is they’ll maybe see it more and more as time goes by.

If you think about it, if you take a look at what I’ve done, I’ve brought millions and millions of people to the Republican Party, and to the conservative party, because, as an example, the debate had 24 million people. If I wasn’t in the debate, would it have had three, or four, or two, or what would it have been? And you look at the kind of numbers that they’re doing on television, where every one of the stations, the networks that are covering us, and honestly in particular covering me, because I do seem to get a lot more coverage than anybody else, but their ratings are through the roof. So that focus is a very important focus because other people are allowed to take advantage of all of the eyeballs that I’m bringing to the screen.

But what makes you a conservative? What does being a conservative mean to you?

Well, I think it’s just a conservative value. I’m very conservative fiscally. I mean, we owe $19 trillion, this is going to destroy our country, we’re going to be destroyed by what’s going on fiscally. And in terms of the economy, in terms of jobs, we’re losing our jobs to everybody. You take a look at the kind of numbers that we’re talking about with the closures and just pure and simple the number of jobs that have been lost, it’s incredible. To places like China, Vietnam is the new hot one, they’re taking our jobs. Mexico, always. They’re outsmarting us at every turn, and we don’t seem to be able to do it. I mean it’s an incredible thing.

I will say this. In terms of conservative, I’ve had tremendous polling numbers with conservatives, I think to a large extent because of the border. Nobody has that issue like I have it, whether it’s building the wall or closing the border and letting people in but they have to come in legally.

So why have you so many conservative leaders — the Wall Street Journal, Weekly Standard, National Review, lots of them don’t think you’re a conservative. They would look at what you just said about trade — they would say protectionism and tariffs, that’s not conservative.

No, no, not protectionism — fairness. China is making hundreds of billions of dollars a year with us. At some point, we have to say, look, you can’t do that. I mean we have rebuilt China virtually. Now, I am a free trader, 100 percent. But we can’t continue to lose tremendous amounts of money to these countries. We’re losing with virtually everybody, everybody that we do business with. The fact is, our leaders have been outsmarted at every step of the game. And we just can’t do that.

Much more again at the link. But if conservative means to preserve what is good while allowing positive change to occur, the Donald may well be the most conservative candidate in this election. It is also what I liked about Tony Abbott even though no two people may be as far apart personally from each other than he and Donald Trump.