Trust in institutions must be continuously earned

This is from Dara Macdonald, a new voice at the IPA, in a post titled, A crisis should not stop democracy. Great to hear all this being said.

Australia right now like the rest of the world is fighting a battle on two fronts. We are trying to stop the spread of a dangerous virus and we’re trying to ensure that we mitigate the effects on society and the community of that fight. But I don’t believe that democracy and the accountability of the government to the people should be a fatality of the coronavirus.

Many states, in particular New South Wales and Victoria, have restricted activities such as walking the dog, reading a book, or getting some sun, all activities which do not constitute a “reasonable excuse” to leave the house, but which can be conducted whilst keeping an appropriate social distance. This is an impingement on civil liberties above and beyond what is required to ensure that people are socially distancing. Making people justify being outside, even when they are alone, is extreme. There is no risk being averted by restricting people’s movement to this extent that could not be prevented by observing them and their adherence to social distancing orders.

These restrictions are more than just disproportionate, they also don’t adhere to principles of due process. They reverse the burden of proof. People are not presumed to have left their house legally, but have to be ready to prove they have a lawful excuse to be outside.

Our legal system is designed in accordance with the idea that it is so egregious to deprive one innocent man of their liberty that it is better that 10 guilty men are acquitted. There is a presumption that the state has resources and knowledge at their disposal that the individual does not. It is incumbent on the accuser to prove the guilt of the accused as opposed to them having to prove their innocence.

The enforcement methods used by police at the moment exemplifies the inequity between individuals and law enforcement and further illustrates the importance of due process. Some examples of policing that are particularly invasive include:

  • the couple in Victoria that were “fined $1,652 each for breaching coronavirus restrictions after sharing year-old holiday snaps on Facebook” that were found by police with time and resources to sift through people’s social media accounts for infractions.
  • Tasmanian police posted a picture of a helicopter with the text “if you are somewhere you shouldn’t be, even a remote campsite, then expect to be spoken to by police and directed to return home.”
  • Western Australian police are using drones and internal tracking devices.

At the same time as emergency powers are being wielded our parliamentary democracy based on representation, debate, and transparency is being suspended.

It is of paramount importance that the parliament remains open and functioning.

The seizure of emergency powers asks something very significant of Australians. It asks us to place an enormous amount of trust in our institutions. However, at the same time as our institutions are being empowered, the norms, such as due process and democracy, which enable our confidence are being discarded.

Trust in institutions must be earned, but the institutions we are asked to place our trust in are the same ones that have been riddled with scandal and deserve our suspicion.

We are asked to trust that the Victorian Police will show discretion when empowered to hand out fines for petty infractions. Yet this same organisation is the one that has recently seemed to have no concern for the basic principles of justice as exemplified in the Lawyer X debacle and the recent collapse of the case against Cardinal George Pell in a 7-0 High Court judgment. Likewise the NSW Police that were hurled before the Law Enforcement Conduct Commission for the strip-search of minors have in response to the current health crisis been granted discretionary powers to hand out fines of up to $11,000 for anyone not complying with the lockdown restrictions.

With our institutions so eroded the amount of trust that people are willing to give our institutions has been surprising. It is a wonder that the removal of our civil liberties and democracy hasn’t been met with more uproar. This is likely a product of enormous goodwill that has been built up through many years of a functioning liberal democracy. For Australians authoritarianism and tyranny is so outside the realm of experience that we trust that our government has our best interests at heart. However, those in power must be reminded that this trust in our government and institutions is neither limitless or indefinite, and senseless overreach and prolonged uncertainty will wear out the public’s confidence.

The hounding of people who dissent to take every government edict as gospel, like Peter Hitchens or Lord Sumption in the UK, or my colleague Gideon Rozner for a video suggesting that this lockdown should begin to be ended, is akin to a kind of heresy worthy of being burned at the Twitter stake is telling. It suggests that maybe people don’t want to know how the sausage is made at the moment. They don’t want to hear debates or contemplate that there might be trade-offs or need for political judgments because that implies that the models we are all relying on to determine policy are not prophecy.

Jonathan Sumption is a former judge of the UK Supreme Court and what he said on the BBC a few weeks ago continues to echo:

The real problem is that when human societies lose their freedom, it’s not usually because tyrants have taken it away. It’s usually because people willingly surrender their freedom in return for protection against some external threat. And the threat is usually a real threat but usually exaggerated. That’s what I fear we are seeing now. The pressure on politicians has come from the public. They want action. They don’t pause to ask whether the action will work. They don’t ask themselves whether the cost will be worth paying. They want action anyway.

Perhaps it is not just Orwell that has come to life in the form of incursions on civil liberties, but also Aldous Huxley. Technology has facilitated the enforcement of lockdown, but also made it tolerable. Our wish is our command. Everything from entertainment to food can be ours with a click of a button without having to leave the lounge. As our interactions have moved online we have become more and more physically isolated for years making the final leap to complete isolation barely noticeable.

I agree with every word.

Frauds and conmen

We are dealing with totalitarian mentalities which must always lurk behind everyone who runs for political office. They want not just to manage our affairs, but to run our lives. There is no longer anything to worry about, and the data are even more stark by the day. But was in an argument this afternoon – online of course – over the data. In the end, I went looking for the numbers, and this is what I found.

This was published by the ABC in Feb 2020 so “last year” in the story refers to 2019. Flu season which struck down 310,000 Australians ‘worst on record’ due to early outbreaks. The final lines:

“While 2019 saw the highest number of influenza cases across the country, 2017 still holds the record for the highest number of flu-related deaths, with over 1,100 cases.”

Last year there were over 900 influenza linked deaths in Australia.

And then there was this from the ABS, not the ABC this time.

Australia’s leading causes of death, 2018

Influenza and pneumonia (J09-J18)

Number: 3102
Median age: 89.3

The number of deaths from the Corona Virus will possibly never reach 100 and will certainly never reach 1000.

We are in the midst of a gigantic fraud and a burst of the most disgusting hysteria. We are not led by leaders but by hysterics and conmen who love power and love to tell everyone else what to do. They have no business being leaders in a free society. First they do everything they can to scare as many people as possible and then invent a near-on-totalitarian system to protect virtually all of us from virtually nothing at all.

The evolution of cinema along with the top ten movies of the 1910s and 1920s

And these are from the 1910s

And these are from the 1920s

Who would watch such things today? I am old enough to have watched these as actual movies and not just relics, specially those from the 1920s. Still, things had moved along so fast that by the time I was born you knew these were antique but were still worth watching just for their ability to tell a story.

The CCP virus

https://twitter.com/peterjhasson/status/1251316281422295043

Will that work better? Is that non-racist enough?

Meanwhile: CCP Arrests HK Leaders While World Watches COVID.

What is perhaps the most astonishing, as well as the most disgusting part of all this is how ignorant and stupid the American media is, along with the entire left side of the American political structure. There is nothing racist by noting that a pandemic that arose in China had Chinese origins. What is racist is to declare that someone is racist for mentioning it. In that one shift in the conversation, the attempt is to shift the focus from one of geography to race. Who then are the racists other than the ideological driven socialists and media scribes whose aim is to bring a CCP political system to the West.

Really, these people are sick in the head. The media in the US are siding with the Communist Party of China against their own democratically elected government and their democratically elected president. Just exactly what do these media morons see in the governance of China that they would like to see introduced into the United States? Why don’t they fear the Chinese political system as much as they pretend to fear the CCP virus?

The American left is a toxic brew of ignorance and stupidity. If they do not see that this virus almost certainly escaped from a biological weapons facility run by the government of China inside China, their judgement is impaired by an ideological form of idiocy that may be more incurable than the CCP virus itself, with longer lasting and more harmful effects as well.

But in spite of all that there is this: The world begins to “social distance” itself from China in the wake of the pandemic.

As nations around the world struggle to deal with outbreaks of the Wuhan coronavirus, China is now experiencing the first phase of what could be considered social distancing on an international scale.

Where we end up from here is anyone’s guess, but the likelihood is growing that there will be widespread understanding of where this viral environment began, in spite of every effort by our corrupt and ignorant media to point the finger elsewhere.

Time to open our economies and restore our freedoms

The difference between Trump and every other world leader that I can see is that he recognises there is a balancing act involved between protection from the harm the virus might do and the immense costs of shutting the economy down. Unlike most others, he is seeking to bring these shutdowns to an end as quickly as possible, unlike say Slo Mo. The Oz front page is Coronavirus Australia live updates: Downturn will hit us like a truck: Morrison. What he intends to do about it is an unknown but it sounds bad. Personally I think it is the decisions he has made that is hitting us like a truck, but perhaps that’s just me.

In the US we now have this: Trump unveils ‘Opening Up America’ plan, aims for May 1. Unlike the pleasures of enjoying the power trips they are on that so many political leaders are in the midst of, Donald Trump seems anxious to get not just the economy back on the road, but to return our lives to the previous normal, or as close as we can.

President Trump on Thursday announced new guidelines for reopening states as soon as May 1 now that the coronavirus appears to be peaking in the US, but he left the decision up to each state’s governor while recommending criteria that would have to be met for each to gradually reopen.

“America wants to be open, and Americans want to be open,” Trump said at the White House during the daily Coronavirus Task Force press briefing.

“Based on the latest data, our team of experts agree we can start the next front in our war, which we are calling Opening Up America Again, and that is what we are doing, opening up our country, and we have to do that.”

You can see the details of his plan at the link. You can also see where we are at the moment in relation to this virus.

This graph shows new cases of COVID-19 in Australia by date of notification. See the Description field on the publication page for a full description.

The above is the Australian experience. Here is a description of the international experience which is identical, which was an article Currency Lad linked to yesterday.

“Is the coronavirus expansion exponential? The answer by the numbers is simple: no. Expansion begins exponentially but fades quickly after about eight weeks.” …

Professor Yitzhak Ben Israel of Tel Aviv University, who also serves on the research and development advisory board for Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, plotted the rates of new coronavirus infections of the U.S., U.K., Sweden, Italy, Israel, Switzerland, France, Germany, and Spain. The numbers told a shocking story: irrespective of whether the country quarantined like Israel, or went about business as usual like Sweden, coronavirus peaked and subsided in the exact same way. In the exact, same, way. His graphs show that all countries experienced seemingly identical coronavirus infection patterns, with the number of infected peaking in the sixth week and rapidly subsiding by the eighth week….

The data from the past 50 days indicates that the closure policies of the quarantine countries can be replaced by more moderate social distancing policies. The numbers simply do not support quarantine or economic closure.

Madness on steroids. I can see we will need a staged recovery for our political leaders from the delusions they have been indulging in over how significant their decisions have been, when all they have done is copied from everyone else in how much of a police state they could erect. Time they started thinking about bringing all this to an end.

THIS NOW IN: From Sarah Hoyt at Instapundit:

AND YES, I KNOW, A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE VIEWING TRUMP’S DECLARATION AS A HOPEFUL SIGN. I SEE IT AS HIS CONTINUING TO ALLOW US TO BE GOVERNED BY SCIENTISTS WITH PRETTY CHARTS. BECAUSE THAT WORKED SO WELL FOR THE USSR:  Trump bows to bureaucrats, unveils a never-ending 3-phase program to end shutdowns.

They didn’t close us gradually. They can reopen like they closed.

Also, am I the only one who still remembers this was ALL about “bending the curve” which apparently auto-bent (because three weeks of isolation would be when it started to bend, but instead it never spiked. Even with all the dubious diagnostics and highly exaggerated “deaths.”)

SERIOUSLY people go outside. Being locked indoors with the MSM leads to strange amnesia and hysteria.

I still assume that Trump has been in part guided by a series of screaming meemies* among his own side of the political divide.

* Knew the phrase since I was a lad, but looked it up to see how it was spelled. Turned out “origin, originally used of German shells in World War I”. I find that both fascinating and charming.

“The numbers simply do not support quarantine or economic closure”

This graph shows new cases of COVID-19 in Australia by date of notification. See the Description field on the publication page for a full description.

The above is the Australian experience. Here is a description of the international experience which is identical.

“Is the coronavirus expansion exponential? The answer by the numbers is simple: no. Expansion begins exponentially but fades quickly after about eight weeks.” …

Professor Yitzhak Ben Israel of Tel Aviv University, who also serves on the research and development advisory board for Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, plotted the rates of new coronavirus infections of the U.S., U.K., Sweden, Italy, Israel, Switzerland, France, Germany, and Spain. The numbers told a shocking story: irrespective of whether the country quarantined like Israel, or went about business as usual like Sweden, coronavirus peaked and subsided in the exact same way. In the exact, same, way. His graphs show that all countries experienced seemingly identical coronavirus infection patterns, with the number of infected peaking in the sixth week and rapidly subsiding by the eighth week….

The data from the past 50 days indicates that the closure policies of the quarantine countries can be replaced by more moderate social distancing policies. The numbers simply do not support quarantine or economic closure.

Madness on steroids.

How do they pick the best amongst these?

The Washington Post has published the winning submissions to its yearly neologism contest, in which readers are asked to supply alternative meanings for common words. These are more clever than I can believe. How will they find others next year? Perhaps the ability to make puns robs someone of their ability to think clearly about politics.

The winners

1. Coffee (n.), the person upon whom one coughs.
2. Flabbergasted (adj.), appalled over how much weight you have gained.
3. Abdicate (v.), to give up all hope of ever having a flat stomach.
4. Esplanade (v.), to attempt an explanation while drunk.
5. Willy-nilly (adj.), impotent.
6. Negligent (adj.), describes a condition in which you absentmindedly answer the door in your nightgown.
7. Lymph (v.), to walk with a lisp.
8. Gargoyle, olive-flavoured mouthwash.
9. Flatulence (n.), emergency vehicle that picks you up after you are run over by a steamroller.
10. Balderdash (n.), a rapidly receding hairline.
11. Testicle (n.), a humorous question on an exam.
12. Rectitude (n.), the formal, dignified bearing adopted by proctologists.
13. Pokemon, a Rastafarian proctologist.
14. Oyster (n.), a person who sprinkles his conversation with Yiddishisms.
15. Frisbeetarianism (n.), (back by popular demand): The belief that, when you die, your soul flies up onto the roof and gets stuck there.
16. Circumvent (n.), an opening in the front of boxer shorts worn by Jewish men.

The Post’s Style Invitational also asked readers to take any word from the dictionary, alter it by adding, subtracting, or changing one letter, and supply a new definition. Not quite as clever but still amazing.

The winners

Bozone (n.): The substance surrounding stupid people that stops bright ideas from penetrating. The bozone layer, unfortunately, shows little sign of breaking down in the near future.
Cashtration (n.): The act of buying a house, which renders the subject financially impotent for an indefinite period.
Sarchasm (n): The gulf between the author of sarcastic wit and the person who doesn’t get it.
Inoculatte (v): To take coffee intravenously when you are running late.
Osteopornosis (n): A degenerate disease. (This one got extra credit.)
Karmageddon (n): It’s like, when everybody is sending off all these Really bad vibes, right? And then, like, the Earth explodes and it’s like, a serious bummer.
Glibido (v): All talk and no action.
Arachnoleptic fit (n.): The frantic dance performed just after you’ve accidentally walked through a spider web.
Caterpallor (n.): The color you turn after finding half a grub in the fruit you’re eating.
And the pick of the literature:
Ignoranus (n): A person who’s both stupid and an asshole.

When will this lockupdown end?

The same question is being asked in the United States except there it is the states who hold the spigot. It is freedom, and it is prosperity and it is human rights at risk. Our lives, hardly at all.

___________Below the line is where this post originally began
From The Australian but with the first and last words in the original headline reversed: Virus cabinet to outlive crisis. It begins:

Scott Morrison has signalled his preference for the national cabinet to become a permanent decision-making body to manage the federation, with West Australian Labor Premier Mark McGowan arguing the COVID-19 leaders’ model should replace the Council of Australian Governments.

The Prime Minister said that through the national cabinet — formed in response to the coronavirus pandemic — the “federation had been more responsive and more co-ordinated than we’ve seen in many years”.

Sure thing, and you know why that is? Because the effective Prime Minister has been Daniel Andrews. Watching Greg [rs] Hunt on Bolt the other day trying to explain why this lockupdown must continue even though the number of deaths is effectively negligible and the incidence of new cases is falling rapidly was itself sickening. What do these people stand for? Who do they represent?

So let us ask what Andrew Bolt asked: What are the actual signs that will signal that you should once again begin opening the economy up?

You may think people are thanking you now, and maybe some are, but in a month the entire country will hate you with such venom you will be astonished at their lack of gratitude, which no one will in the slightest owe you.