Realism in Paris!

More realism from Paris.

Britain and other rich countries face demands for $3.5 trillion (£2.3 trillion) in payments to developing nations to secure a deal in Paris to curb global warming. Developing countries have added a clause to the latest draft of the text under which they would be paid the “full costs” of meeting plans to cut emissions.

That’ll work. Even John Kerry was almost made to seem a man of sense:

The night saw an ugly brawl as US secretary of state John Kerry threatened that developed countries, including the US, would walk out of the agreement if it held up the wall of differentiation or if it was asked to commit to a road-map or a goal to deliver on its financial obligations in the Paris agreement. “You can take the US out of this. Take the developed world out of this. Remember, the Earth has a problem. What will you do with the problem on your own?” he said behind closed doors in negotiations to other ministers on the second revised draft of the Paris agreement.

He added, “We can’t afford in the hours we are left with to nit-pick every single word and to believe there is an effort here that separates developed countries from developing countries. That’s not where we are in 2015. Don’t think this agreement reflects that kind of differentiation.”

The debt and deficits everywhere make action on climate – that is, you known, tearing down our existing power grid while giving trillions to others – a bit unaffordable. So here’s the line up of issues that have delayed the agreement, which boils down to everyone demanding that someone else pays while they receive:

1. Should developed countries have a legal obligation to deliver finances against a road-map
2. Should developing countries that do not have historical responsibility for emissions also contribute to climate flows
3. Should the burden sharing in the agreement be based on self-differentiation based on current economic capacities or on both, historical emissions and current economic conditions
4. Should the actions of developing countries be linked, even if weakly, to the provision of finance and technology or should they be treated as par with developed countries during next ratchet up of emission reduction commitments
5. Should there be a periodic review of delivery of finance and technology by developed world or not
6. Should the long term goal of the agreement unambiguously be to keep global temperature rise below 1.5 degree by 2100 or should the agreement refer hedge on this goal
7. Should poor and vulnerable countries continue to hold rights to file for damages and liability against permanent loss and damage caused due to climate change

The only climate change there has been has been in the climate of opinion within the populations of developed economies.

Down memory lane

Remembrance of things past, dead, buried and cremated recalled by Tim Blair.

Remember when Malcolm Turnbull vowed to explain everything?

You build confidence by explaining, as I said earlier, explaining what the problem is, making sure people understand it, and then setting out the options for dealing with it …

That’s the approach I have taken: Laying out what the issues are, getting the facts straight, explaining that and then presenting a path forward and then making the case for that path forward. My firm belief is that to be a successful leader in 2015 – perhaps at any time – you have to be able to bring people with you by respecting their intelligence in the manner you explain things.

Well, Turnbull’s government now seems to have moved on from that explaining phase:

Eyebrows were raised after the Turnbull government shifted its stance overnight when Foreign Affairs Minister Julie Bishop signed up to a New Zealand-led declaration at the Paris climate summit backing the use of international carbon markets in tackling climate change.

Former prime minister Tony Abbott shunned the use of international carbon permits, once saying that: “money that shouldn’t be going offshore into dodgy carbon farms in Equatorial Guinea and Kazakhstan”.

But in a speech on Wednesday, Ms Bishop said: “We recognise that international carbon markets are a key part of the global effort to reduce emissions”.

Nobody explained this to Liberal MP Craig Kelly:

WHAT?

We’re going to start buying “international carbon permits” … ?

I must have ducked off to the bathroom when that was discussed in the partyroom, because I can’t recall any such discussions.

Surely this can’t be right?

Ignoring the evidence on climate

Mark Steyn’s description of events before the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation really needs to be read to get some idea of just how dense our political class is and especially in the US. You get a better idea of where a Donald Trump comes from by reading his entire post since it must be as close to impossible for virtually anyone to have an impact on their government especially if they are as dense as this chap. Here we have Steyn’s description of how he and Judith Curry took on the US Senate in which its rudeness, not to mention their profound ignorance, is the issue that he finds the most incredible and despicable.

There is another kind of basic rudeness, which I have never experienced in a real parliament. If you’re moderating a panel discussion on C-SPAN with five panelists, it’s generally considered polite to distribute the questions broadly. In this case, the Democrats asked no questions of anyone other than their guy – Rear Admiral Titley. For example, there was some extensive discussion of the satellite record: They have the scientist who created and developed the satellite temperature record sitting at one end of the table: John Christy. This is a remarkable scientific accomplishment. Yet they directed all their questions on the subject to the bloke down the other end – Rear Admiral Titley, who knows no more about the satellite record than I do. This is like inviting Sir Isaac Newton to a hearing on gravity and then only asking questions of Mr Timeserver sitting next to him. It may represent the “decorum” of the Senate but in any other area of life it would be regarded as insufferably ill-mannered.

So by the time Senator Ed Markey turned up, I’d had enough of it. Markey is the Massachusetts guy (whom I discussed on the radio with Howie Carr yesterday afternoon) and he began by comparing Rear Admiral Titley to Galileo – at which point I threw up my arms. I would have let this twaddle go, except that Markey then went on to insult the three scientists on my right. And, as with so many of the staffer-insulated ignorant bullies of the Senate, he did so with no intention of letting them respond. Dr Judith Curry is a very brave woman who has withstood an extraordinary onslaught from the ugly misogynist types that climate alarmism attracts. She was not cowed by this know-nothing senator and she wished to respond, as she indicated discreetly.

Markey ignored her. Again, we’re way beyond the rules of the Senate here. In the rules of life, a gentleman does not insult a woman and then stand on parliamentary dignity to deny her a reply. If that’s the “decorum of the Senate”, then Senator Markey puts the dick in decorum. Nevertheless, with characteristic pomposity, he sought to use the Senate’s crappy rules to prevent those he’d abused from responding to his crude insults:

Markey must have been a little shocked when climatologist Judith Curry demanded to be able to respond to his testimony trying to discredit her views on climate science.

“I did not ask you a question,” Markey, a Democrat, retorted when Curry asked if she could respond to his testimony during a Senate hearing Tuesday on the science behind global warming.

“Why can’t she respond senator?” Conservative author and columnist Mark Steyn shot back at Markey. “You impugned her integrity. I think she’s entitled to…”

“I was basically called a ‘denier’ — that I’m denying science,” said Curry, a climate scientist at Georgia Tech University. “Did you read my written testimony?”

Markey sought to discredit Curry in his testimony by framing her as ignoring the evidence humans are putting the planet at risk. Curry was not happy with essentially being labelled a global warming “denier” and pushed back against the senator’s remarks.

“Are you aware the IPCC and the consensus has no explanation for the increase of ice in the Antarctic?” Curry said. “Are you aware that they have no explanation for the fact the rate of sea level rise from 1920 to 1950 was as large, if not larger, as it currently is?”

“Are you aware that temperatures have been warming for more than 200 years, and, that in the 20th Century, 40 percent of the warming occurred before 1950 when carbon dioxide was not a factor in the warming?” Curry continued.

Curry highlighted even more uncertainties among climate scientists many Democrats and environmentalists are loathe to admit. For example, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has trouble explaining the recent “hiatus” in warming as well as the warming trend before the 1950s.

“Doctor, as I just said in my testimony — corroborated by Dr. Titley [another witness on the panel] — this is the warmest year ever recorded,” Markey shot back. “Last year was the warmest year ever recorded until this year. This was the warmest November ever recorded. October… was the warmest ever recorded.”

“You do not have an answer for that,” Markey said before going on to site Galileo and claim Curry was relying on “something that is perhaps God-made rather than dependent upon something that is man-made” and backed by science.

“Are you saying there’s no natural variability senator?” Steyn cut in. “There were alligators at the North Pole. What was that? Was that you in your SUV?”

Markey was forced to acknowledge the planet does in fact warm and cool on its own, but said natural variability is regional and the warming trend “is straight up.”

“Do you know what the little ice age was senator?” Steyn said to which Markey responded by claiming Boston’s record levels of snow are a product of global warming.

Perhaps it was ever thus, but then again, perhaps it was never before like this and we are the maddest generation who have ever lived.

“You’re effectively enforcing a state ideology”

The conclusion to Mark Steyn’s full testimony to the American Senate on climate change.

Climate alarmism is going nowhere. The two-decade global-warming pause, which no late 1990s climate model foresaw, led the public to doubt Big Climate’s confident predictions for the future. In response, federal bodies such as NOAA and NASA have adjusted the past to make the present appear hotter, and thus supposedly demonstrated that in fact there is no such “pause”. As a result, public opinion, which no longer trusts the Big Climate enforcers to tell them what the climate will be like in 2050, now no longer trusts them to tell them what it was like in 1950. A recent poll found that, notwithstanding the urgings of the President and the Secretary of State and others, only three per cent of Americans regard climate change as their major concern. Three per cent. There is your 97 per cent consensus, gentlemen.

At exactly the time when climate science needs to acknowledge its own failings, and the uncertainties of which Dr Curry speaks, and the inability of cartoon climatology and fraudulent gimmicks like the hockey stick to capture the complexities of the planet’s climate system, a narrow unrepresentative group of activists is demanding ever more brutal penalties against those who refuse to toe the line.

There is certainly a role for the state to play in this – not in prosecuting climate dissenters under RICO laws or in dumping taxpayer money into unwatchable propaganda musicals, or in having feckless lethargic judges in the District of Columbia reward serial plaintiffs for nuisance suits, but rather in standing firm for the most expansive definition of free speech, which is vital to scientific inquiry and sorely overdue in this particular field, and against the
abuse of government funds, which has been disastrous for it.

UPDATE: Steyn’s full statement to the Senate. A must read for anyone who feels in command of a subject. Anger and irony are an amazing combination with also having command of the facts. Via Rafe in the comments.

“One of the dumbest statements I’ve ever heard in politics.”

What I find the most remarkable is that even the standard “97% of scientists” isn’t good enough for him but has to raise it to 99.5. And I can now see more clearly than ever that to go with his hatreds and narcissism, his lying and ignorance, he is also as thick as two planks. The story is titled Who’s the dumb one? Obama reacts to Trump climate criticism. And aside from everything else, I think on this and by now he even has the politics of it completely wrong. Here’s the story in full.

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – President Barack Obama defended his remarks about the threat posed by climate change, saying Republicans, including U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump, were “the only people” disputing the gravity of the problem.

Obama has called climate change a great threat to future generations. At a news conference on Tuesday before leaving the U.N. climate summit in Paris, he likened global warming to the threat posed by terrorism and Islamic State and said both problems can be addressed by applying steady pressure and new ideas.

Republicans seized on his comments as understating the threat of terrorism [not to mention overstating the threat of climate change]. Trump, front-runner to be the Republican nominee in the 2016 presidential election, told MSNBC that Obama’s comment was the “one of the dumbest statements I’ve ever heard in politics.”

“Well, you know, Mr. Trump should run back a tape or quote on some of the stuff he’s said,” Obama retorted, during an interview with CBS “This Morning” that was broadcast on Friday.

“But, look, here’s what we know: 99.5 percent of scientists in the world say this is a really urgent problem,” he said. “Political parties around the world. The only people who are still disputing it are either some Republicans in Congress or – folks on the campaign trail.”

Obama was among more than 150 world leaders in Paris this week at the start of a U.N. conference that aims to reach an agreement to curb global warming.

On Tuesday, Obama said rising seas and warming climates could be drain on economic resources.

“This is an economic and security imperative that we have to tackle now,” he said.

Why it has been kid gloves in dealing with Obama up till now I don’t know, but Donald does seem to have the kind of political abrasiveness that gets results. And by siding with the “0.5%”, which is now around 50%, Trump is even right about the issue itself.

[Via Ed Driscoll at Instapundit]

Climate Hustle

There’s money in having oil to sell and there’s money in being opposed to the sale of oil. Funny world, and both sides have converge on Paris over the past fortnight. Oil money has been translated into ISIS while the global warming crowd are redirecting trillions into various projects that will deliver nothing other than wealth to those who could not possibly create it and never will. But they will certainly go through an enormous amount of this wealth in the process. The cretins marching in the street are encouraging the very outcomes that will keep themselves poor but make a very small proportion exceedingly rich.

Meanwhile, Skeptical Climate Documentary Set to Rock UN Climate Summit – ‘Climate Hustle’ To Have Red Carpet Premiere in Paris. You can go to the link for more, and there is quite a bit more. The one thing I am sure of is that the movie will not rock anything, but it will be nice for us to be aware of as we are being fleeced. Here I will only repeat the first comment on the thread.

Hope it is effective in explaining WHY it is a “hustle”, climate issues notwithstanding– because it isn’t about “climate” at all– it is about the use/abuse of “climate” from schools to political circles, in propaganda form, to beat over the heads of both the unsuspecting and the skeptical, ultimately for pushing a global governance agenda. And in the process, corrupting honest scientific debate, leading directly to the destruction of the preimminence of scientific leadership in America, when deference to so-called United Nations climate concensus is given. Make no mistake, it corrupts the ENTIRETY of the scientific community, by a relatively small, vocal, and cult-like fanaticism.

Or to quote from another of the comments: “Funny how the ‘cure’ is the re-distribution of wealth.”