What has Tony Abbott ever done for us?

From Tony Abbott’s speech on relinquishing the Prime Ministership:

I have held true to what I believed and I am proud of what we have achieved over the past two years.

300,000 more people are in jobs.

Labor’s bad taxes are gone.

We have signed Free Trade Agreements with our largest trading partners – with Japan, with Korea, and with China.

The biggest infrastructure programme in our country’s history is under way.

A spotlight is being shone into the dark and corrupt corners of the union movement and Labor’s party/union business model.

We have responded to the threats of terror and we have deployed to the other side of the world to bring our loved ones home.

The boats have stopped – and with the boats stopped, we’ve been better able to display our compassion to refugees.

And despite hysterical and unprincipled opposition, we’ve made $50 billion of repairs to the budget.

I am proud of what the Abbott Government has achieved. We stayed focused despite the white-anting.

And just who were those white ants you were referring to?

Trump terrifies Wall Street

Sounds good to me:

The CEO of one large Wall Street firm, who declined to be identified by name criticizing the GOP front-runner, said the assumption in the financial industry remains that something will eventually knock Trump off and send voters toward a more establishment candidate. But that assumption is no longer held with strong conviction. And a dozen Wall Street executives interviewed for this article could not say what might dent Trump’s appeal or when it might happen.

“I don’t know anyone who is a Donald Trump supporter. I don’t know anyone who knows anyone who is a Donald Trump supporter. They are like this huge mystery group,” the CEO said. “So it’s a combination of shock and bewilderment. No one really knows why this is happening. But my own belief is that the laws of gravity will apply and those who are prepared to run the marathon will benefit when Trump drops out at mile 22. Right now people think Trump is pretty hilarious but the longer it goes on the more frightening it gets.”

Trump is not going to be foxed by money manipulators and doesn’t need their cash to run. Maybe, at last, a president who won’t bail out the banks.

Ever more tedious, this time from Janet Albrechtsen

How insufferable does it get!

Turnbull’s critics should pull their heads in and focus on the real battle: it’s against Shorten and the Labor Party, not between opposing factions in the Liberal Party.

Really? Is this so? Where were you with this advice a week ago when Abbott was leader and Turnbull and Bishop were doing everything they could to unsettle the Government. Disgusting sanctimonious cant, disguised as independent, above-the-fray objective advice.

Meanwhile from Jo Nova:

Despite the resounding win a mere two years ago, and achieving his main promises, Abbott has been ousted in his first term. Politics is dirtier than ever.

He was elected with a big win, but lasted just two years in office. Gillard barely made a government, needing help from two turncoats, and her legacy legislation burnt her solemn promise – yet she held office even longer than Abbott did.

The anti Abbott, Abbott, Abbott campaign in the media has been relentless and successful.

Turnbull has said he will stick with Australia’s carbon emissions cuts (26% by 2030) but this means nothing. Firstly, the target is obscenely high, and secondly, there are so many possible ways to waste more money and give up more sovereign rights in Paris. He can sell us out to the financial houses that want carbon trading, and waste additional billions on renewable energy.

If you’re so rich why aren’t you smart?

Malcolm is almost the perfect reflection of media opinion. He is like blotting paper, soaking up every conventional opinion without any actual apparent ability to think for himself. He is a non-entity in the Barack Obama mould, filled with vapid thoughts and a high opinion of his own abilities and intellect that is never at any stage reflected in anything he says or any action he takes.

He apparently won on the promise that he would not change any of the more contentious compromises Abbott had been able to meld, which is to say, he won promising not to do the very things that he wants to do, and which the media will look to him to do. The Great Communicator he is not. He is a shallow and pompous blowhard. If there is more to him, we will find out. If there isn’t, the 54 fools who backed him into the Lodge will perhaps regret what they have done, but in the meantime will have caused great harm to this country, while not even saving a single Parliamentary seat.

AND CONTINUING: The one opinion I was interested in was Tim Blair’s.

UPDATE III. The winner and new Prime Minister: Malcolm Turnbull, by 54 to 44 votes. Julie Bishop elected deputy. Disaster.

OK Malcolm. It’s now up to you to show us we were wrong.

Lost the plot

Malcombe

UPDATE: From Andrew Bolt, which he has just put up, and with which I agree with each word:

Malcolm Turnbull is a wrecker. He has sabotaged the Liberal campaign in Canning, which the latest two polls show would have been won comfortably by a great candidate.

Second, Turnbull claims he is a better communicator than Abbott. Nothing in his record as Opposition Leader of Communications Minister backs up that boast.

Third, he risks splitting the Liberals with his stands on gay marriage and global warming, to name just two issues. He would not have stopped the boats or scrapped the carbon tax, and I doubt he would have pushed as remorsely as Tony Abbott from the free trade deal with China that he cited as his big economic agenda.

Turnbull is stealing the job he could not have won, using policy weapons he could not have designed and boasting of a communication ability he does not have to head a party he cannot unite.

The front page story in The Oz today is Tony Abbott urged to stare down leadership plotters.

Apparently, the only reason they can come up with to change the leader is that Tony is down in the polls. As far as policy goes, these empty-headed conspirators, led by the most empty-headed of the lot, have nothing to offer so far as a change of policy goes, at least not so far as the kinds of policy someone like myself wishes to see followed.

If the issue to them is the risk to their own seats, these are such craven people, with no serious vision of what is necessary to keep this nation safe and prosperous. A policy of open-bordered greenery is not only idiotic, it will also more likely than not lose the next election irrespective which party decides to make the case, that is, unless both decide to. So long as Tony is there, at least one party will not. Après Tony le déluge I’m afraid, but we should try to keep it off as long as possible, and maybe others will even wake up to the actual problems we have.

UPDATE: The news does come thick and fast. The Libs must have been set to win Canning on the weekend since Turnbull has now resigned from Cabinet and Bishop is pushing for a leadership spill. These people are utterly vile. I’ve taken everything below from Andrew Bolt.

Malcolm Turnbull and Julie Bishop have asked Tony Abbott for a leadership vote tomorrow. This comes after a string of destabilising leaks with Bishop’s fingerprints on it, and others from the Turnbull camp. First they weaken Abbott, and then then complain he’s crippled. Interesting is the absence this time around of Scott Morrison in their mooted lineup. But he has not defended Abbott, either.

UPDATE

Had Abbott been given loyalty, he would have won the next election against Bill Shorten. But I’m afraid many MPs will feel they have no option but to reward people who put their own ambitions above their party’s, fearing this will go on and on. But many conservatives will never wear this and with good reason will never trust those who have shown they deserve none. For them the question will be: would a Labor victory be their only chance of getting back a Liberal party that represents them?

UPDATE

Scott Morrison will not stand against Abbott.

UPDATE

Turnbull has resigned as Minister. At his press conference, he claims the government has not “been successful in providing the economic leadership our nation needs”. “We need a different style of leadership” – one which explains the changes and “respects the people’s intelligence”, that has advocacy and “not slogans”. (But is Turnbull really a better communicator?)

Turnbull says Shorten would be catastrophic, noting his opposition to the China free trade deal. (Which Abbott actually achieved.) “We need to restore traditional cabinet government” with no “captain’s calls”. (Turnbull so far has hit on most Labor talking points.) Turnbull admits this is not ideal, giving the Canning byelection. (But this is hypocrisy: he has determined the timing.)

Where’s our Donald Trump?

I watched Bolt this morning and the interview with Scott Morrison over Peter Dutton’s off-the-record but on-the-microphone comment. So this is where we now are, Peter Dutton apologises for microphone gaffe.

First, it was not a gaffe, it was a joke. In fact, it is the kind of joke that gives people like me some kind of hope that there are some amongst the Libs who understand climate change is a political scam, not the most urgent issue of our time.

Second, what is he doing apologising? Why isn’t the response something along the lines of – you guys in the media are such airheads that it is impossible to have an adult conversation with any of you around. The actual response, on the other hand, makes me think that these guys do not have the internal fortitude to do what needs doing:

“Obviously it was a private conversation – I should have realised the mike was there,” Mr Dutton told Sky News. “I didn’t; it was directly behind me. I made a mistake and I apologise to anyone who has taken offence to it. It was a light-hearted discussion with the PM and I didn’t mean any offence to anyone.

“If anyone has taken offence they should accept my apology. I’m disappointed that it allowed for a distraction from what was a very good policy announcement.”

Now imagine Donald Trump having been picked up by some stray microphone making a joke about some policy issue, especially one where to his own side he would be showing a bit of common sense. The most important change that may yet be wrought by Trump is his taking the media on. They are far left loons, and part of an amazingly uninformed, poorly educated cohort of journalists whose views, for the most part, are not worth the newspapers they are printed on. No self-respecting government should be forced to treat them seriously.

“The unprotected, the vulnerable, have a right and a reason to worry”

For the first time in ages, Peggy Noonan has written a column that is right on the money: The Migrants and the Elites. In it we find this:

The gap between those who run governments and those who are governed has now grown huge and portends nothing good.

Rules on immigration and refugees are made by safe people. These are the people who help run countries, who have nice homes in nice neighborhoods and are protected by their status. Those who live with the effects of immigration and asylum law are those who are less safe, who see a less beautiful face in it because they are daily confronted with a less beautiful reality—normal human roughness, human tensions. Decision-makers fear things like harsh words from the writers of editorials; normal human beings fear things like street crime. Decision-makers have the luxury of seeing life in the abstract. Normal people feel the implications of their decisions in the particular.

The decision-makers feel disdain for the anxieties of normal people, and ascribe them to small-minded bigotries, often religious and racial, and ignorant antagonisms. But normal people prize order because they can’t buy their way out of disorder.

People in gated communities of the mind, who glide by in Ubers, have bought their way out and are safe. Not to mention those in government-maintained mansions who glide by in SUVs followed by security details. Rulers can afford to see national-security threats as an abstraction—yes, yes, we must better integrate our new populations. But the unprotected, the vulnerable, have a right and a reason to worry.

Venezuela on the Thames?

I have friends on the left who used to say that the best thing that ever happened to their political desires was the fall of the Soviet Union. It would make it possible for socialists to win and hold governments without the example of the USSR there to scare the children. And so things seem to be turning out. To go with Bernie Sanders in the US we now have Socialist Corbyn wins UK Labour leadership in landslide.

Radical leftwinger Jeremy Corbyn on Saturday won the crown of Britain’s main opposition Labour party in a landslide victory, becoming the nation’s most left-wing political leader for over 30 years.

The 66-year-old socialist, whose policies have been compared to those of Greece’s Syriza and Spain’s Podemos, was named leader after clinching 59.5 percent of the 422,664 votes cast by Labour party members and supporters.

The newly-elected leader condemned “grotesque levels of inequality” and “an unfair welfare system” in his victory speech to party members in central London.

The world is heading in a very strange direction. Every country has a large proportion of its population who wish to repeat the success of Chavez in Venezuela. I don’t therefore believe that this is even remotely right:

Despite the “Corbynmania” of his grassroots campaign, Tony Blair — Labour’s most electorally successful leader who is now deeply unpopular over Iraq — has warned that his victory would split Labour and consign the party to electoral oblivion.

I hope he’s right but we live in very strange times.

More on Samuelson and the damage he has done to economic theory

I received a note from a friend and colleague on the note I did on the most damaging graph in the history of the sciences. He wrote:

Thanks for your blog on Samuelson. Only about twelve months ago did it dawn on me just how much damage Samuelson has done. I was thinking then of the Foundations, but of course you are right: his introductory textbook has been much more influential. Because his first degree was in physics, I don’t suppose he ever encountered a course in the History of Economic Thought in his life.

Samuelson’s first degree was in physics! This was news to me. So I did a bit of hunting, and now I am not sure that my colleague wasn’t right, and that Samuelson’s Foundations may have done as much harm as his introductory text and the Keynesian-cross. None of the standard online biographies mention physics, but there was then this on Paul Samuelson which is an entry in the online Encyclopedia of Human Thermodynamics, a link I shall certainly preserve. This is part of what it says about Samuelson:

In hmolscience, Paul Samuelson (1915-2009) (CR:89|#52) was an American economist noted, in economic thermodynamics, notable for his circa 1940 to 1970s efforts to derive economics via what he refers to a “mathematical isomorphisms” of the thermodynamics of Willard Gibbs, as communicated to him via his mentor Edwin Wilson and the so-called Harvard Pareto circle.

Economic stability | Equation 133
In 1938, Edwin Wilson, amid various letter communicates on his steam engine/physical chemistry based “mathematical economics” course, he was teaching at Harvard, wrote the following to Samuelson with critical comments on a paper by Samuelson:

“Moreover, general as the treatment is I think that there is the possibility that it is not so general in some respects as Willard Gibbs would have desired. [In] discussing equilibrium and displacements from one position of equilibrium to another position [Gibbs] laid great stress on the fact that one had to remain within the limits of stability. Now if one wishes to postulate the derivatives including the second derivatives in an absolutely definite quadratic form one doesn’t need to talk about the limits of stability because the definiteness of the quadratic form means that one has stability. I wonder whether you can’t make it clearer or can’t come nearer following the general line of ideas [that] Gibbs has given in his Equilibrium of Heterogeneous Substances, equation 133.”

The very impressive mention of “equation 133”, from Gibbs’ subsection “Internal Stability of Homogeneous Fluids as indicated by Fundamental Equations”, is the following:

U – TS + PV – M_1 m_1 – M_2 m_2 … – M_n m_n \,

Wilson, in other words, is suggesting, as it seems to be, to Samuelson that he use the Gibbs fundamental equation to formulate a theory of economic stability. Very hilarious indeed. Even the best of the best top dozen of the three dozen or so known human free energy theorists have been barely able to get a handle on this very intricate problem. No wonder Samuelson, into the 1970s, would become so irritated when people queried him about entropy and or sent him entropy-based economic papers to look at.

And where does all this lead:

Samuelson’s general economic model, in particular, was influenced by Gibbsian equilibrium criterion. His 1947 book Foundations of Economic Analysis, from his doctoral dissertation, is based, in theme, on Gibbs’ 1876 On the Equilibrium of Heterogeneous Substances. [1] Samuelson was the sole protegé of the polymath Edwin Wilson, who had himself been the sole protegé of Yale’s great physicist Willard Gibbs. During these formative years, Gibbs’ theories on equilibrium and chemical thermodynamics influenced them both in their ideas on the equilibrium of economic systems. In his seminal Foundations, Samuelson suggested, for example, that variation of the demand for a factor with a change in its price was analytically similar to thermodynamic variation in the pressure, volume, and temperature of an ideal gas. [9] All of this is pure Gibbsian. In fact, one may argue that the terms “foundation” and “variation” were plucked directly from the first page of the abstract to Equilibrium, wherein Gibbs states:

“Little has been done to develop the principle [of entropy] as a foundation for the general theory of thermodynamic equilibrium, which may be reformulated as follows: for the equilibrium of any isolated system it is necessary and sufficient that in all possible variations of the state of the system which do not alter its energy, the variation [δ] of its entropy shall either vanish or be negative.”

In short, Samuelson seemed to have adopted the variational logic of differential equations employed in thermodynamics, where variation goes by the mathematical name of “derivative”, to be applied in economics. Samuelson, however, maintains that his borrowing of thermodynamics to application in theoretical economics is only as “mathematical isomorphisms” between the maximum-minimum structures of thermodynamics and the cost-profit-utility systems of economics.

A very interesting idea in 1947, certainly worth pursuing. That we now can see it is a dead end is neither here nor there to all of world’s economists who have taken the trouble to learn maths rather than looking at the way an economy works.

Media ignorance and America’s alignment with the Nazis of the 21st century

Socialism is a viral belief system that attacks people when they are young, and is especially destructive of people with university degrees in the arts and humanities. It is a kind of equaliser, that makes smart people effectively stupid. You hardly have to go very far in reading the media to see it. Which brings me to this: The world just changed forever, but you’d hardly know it from the media

It is now official. On Thursday, the Senate let the Iran deal go through – a deal that will forever change the landscape of the world in terrifying and unthinkable ways. I need not enumerate how this collaboration with Iran (and it is a collaboration) will affect Israel, the Middle East, the United States, and indeed the entire world.

Readers know all too well.

And yet, you’d hardly know how our fate was sealed on Thursday. America’s alignment with the Nazis of the 21st century hardly made a dent in media coverage.

That’s because Nazis were National Socialists. The only consistency on the left are: (1) their attacks on anyone with wealth earned by producing things (i.e. they do not to attack the wealthy as such which allows them to ignore actors and sports stars, corrupt union officials or extremely well paid media people) and (2) to attack anyone who actually bases their values on the Judeo-Christian tradition which allows them to ignore the faults that might be found in the value systems of any other religious groupings (which, of course, includes atheists).

Media ignorance is so pervasive that everyone, other than fellow socialists, is perfectly well aware of it. Watching news shows on the ABC for people without this socialist warping is astonishingly painful which is why so few people do it.

As to the specifics about media making the population ignorant of anything, the most astonishing evidence was the reaction across the world to that picture of a single drowned child. Where have these people been for the past five years not to have come across many many photos just like it and far worse. Where they have been is watching the news and reading our papers, that’s where they’ve been, the perfect recipe for becoming as ignorant as the people who present and distort the news. How else does an Obama get elected or a Bill Shorten become competitive looking forward to our next election?