The $A and a Double D election

What has struck me almost daily when in Canada and the United States was how strong the Australian dollar is compared with the local currencies. We are not so productive relative to them that things should look so cheap to me. I think the $A is heading for a fall, and so does Glenn Stevens:

RESERVE Bank governor Glenn Stevens has warned investors to brace for a slump in the Australian dollar when the US Federal Reserve starts to lift interest rates and questioned whether ultra-loose monetary policy was fostering the right kind of risk-taking.

There are so many ways the Australian economy might unravel. I watch from this distance the Opposition and non-Coalition Senators playing Russian roulette with the Australian economy. It’s one thing to have a different policy view but to let the many economic problems Australia has fester so that they can take over an economy that has been devastated by the fiscal measures they introduced is no small worry.

There will almost surely be a double dissolution in which the question will be whether the country wishes to live in a fool’s paradise or whether it wishes to deal with the problems that are clearly visible. I think Australia may still be able to work it through and come to the right decision in a vote. Or perhaps not, but that will likely be the kind of election we will be having in the next year or two. Because whatever else, things cannot go on as they are.

HETSA symposium on the future of the history of economic thought

We’ve just had a symposium on my book, Defending the History of Economic Thought, at the History of Economic Thought Society of Australia meeting here in Auckland. I’m no fan of economics in the form of running a line through a set of dots, although I’m not an enemy either. But the astonishing transformation of economic theory from a philosophical study to social physics may be all right for the academic world – may be – but it’s not so all right for those who need to understand what’s going on if they’re trying to make policy.

Economics has a vast store house of approaches that are different from the mainstream, some bundled into different schools, such as Austrian economics, and some just part of an array of models that had been part of the mainstream in the past but have been sidelined for one reason or another. No natural science, for example, has ever had some concept from the past return in the way that Malthus’s early nineteenth century theory of over-saving and demand deficiency was resurrected as Keynesian economics and remains embedded in Y=C+I+G. The challenge to today’s mainstream provided by discarded theories and different schools has seen an effort made to push HET out of the economics classification and, as was attempted in Australia in 2007, to blend it into a category that was to be called, History, Archaeology, Religion and Philosophy, as far as possible from economics itself. My book is about that attempt, and a similar one in Europe in 2011. And the interesting part for me, during this symposium, was to find how many even here in Australia, want to make that transformation.

Why that is, I still cannot fully understand. There’s plenty of sociology in HET even as it stands, but there is also a good deal of rethinking old ideas as well. In the present structure you can do both. If HET became history and philosophy of science, the traditional form of HET would disappear, even as it is already shrinking in North America.

The contrast between our meeting in Auckland and the American HET meeting in Montreal at the end of last month was incredible. You would think that with economic theory at such a low ebb, that there would be many papers looking at the pre-Keynesian theory of the cycle, as just one example. As it happens, there was not a single paper in Montreal on either Keynes (or Marx for that matter), and very few that dealt with economic theory as in what did economist A say about issue B. There instead remains a systematic effort to reward sociology of knowledge. Here in Auckland, however, there have been just the kinds of papers that interest me, on both sides of these debates, and there are knowledgable people who can offer truly in-depth analyses and critiques.

It is, in fact, my wish that HET become in part what it never quite has been able to be, become a proving ground for older ideas that are tested in a pit of criticisms by people who are interested in these issues and know an immense amount about these ancient theories. It now happens in a haphazard way, but I think it should become institutionalised. There is, in fact, a new on-line journal that has opened called “History of Economics and Policy” which in my view is the direction things should go.

At the symposium, there were many things said from the floor that I found very useful and interesting, but amongst them was that MIT is about to make a history of economic thought course compulsory for its PhD candidates. If that is actually true, HET will be back within a decade.

The zero percents

America Movie Review

There are certain moments when the deep left nature of the American media truly reveals itself and this is one such moment. America is a movie that no self-respecting person on the left and in the media can ever admit to liking. It is part of the bias that keeps incompetent idiots in government. Independent minds they are not, and they are ruining America in ways that will one day be written about in the same terms as the Fall of the Roman Empire, which itself may take the same 1500 years to appreciate what has been lost. If American falls, history will be written by the same zero percents who can never say a good word about the right.

(Lifted from Small Dead Animals.)

Ruining your country for political advantage

The above-the-fold headlines at Drudge:

BORDER BREAKDOWN:
DEPORTATIONS OF ‘DREAMERS’ DROPS…
Feds to Bring in Riot Squad Against Illegal Immigration Protesters…
Clash in California…
‘Viva La Raza’…
BOIL…
‘Homeland Security’ Not Sure On Deportations…
‘We have to do right by the children’…
Border Protection Chief: ‘These Are Not Dangerous Individuals’…
PERRY: Obama either ‘inept’ or doesn’t care…
Some on right push to impeach…
WIRE: Backlash stirs against foreign worker visas…
Activist distributes flashlights to border crossers…
SHOCK CLAIM: 300 border agents under investigation for corruption…
City Leaders Shut Out Of Planning To Shelter Illegals…
Agent Contracts Scabies…
40 infected immigrants transported to CA…
Militia group heading to Texas border…
Mothers crossing at alarming rate…
500 released at bus stations every day with children…
Many schools in Charlotte NC now majority immigrant…

Nobody even pretends they’re refugees.

A bit of weekend news

Today’s main stories at Lucianne.com. It’s a big country but if you’re an American, all of these are coming to get you:

In NSA-intercepted data, those not targeted far outnumber the foreigners who are
The WaPo slides 4 months of NSA reporting into the long holiday media bloodstream.

Unleashed Upon America: Obama Unchained!
Obama’s War of Revenge, the movie, reaches warp speed.

Why The White House Ignored All Those Warnings About ISIS
There are none so deaf as those who will not listen.

The Obamas Have Spent Over $44,351,777.12 In Taxpayer Cash On Travel
Staggering stats in the life of fat cats.

Border Meltdown: Obama Delivering 290,000 Illegals To U.S. Homes
An operation this vast must have taken….oh, say maybe years?

Parliamentary systems are much much better than republics, much better

I have noted before that Parliamentary systems are better than republics but here someone in American has also taken notice. The presidency has turned into an “elective monarchy” is the title, but it’s not a recent thing, it is the nature of the system. The article is a commentary by an American on an article by one F.H. Buckley, a Canadian who, like all of us who have inherited the British system, knows the difference:

First off, we’re hardly “the freest country in the world.” As Buckley points out, his native Canada beats the United States handily on most cross-country comparisons of political and economic liberty. In the latest edition of the Cato Institute’s Economic Freedom of the World rankings, for example, we’re number 17 and we don’t try harder. Meanwhile, as Buckley points out, the Economist Intelligence Unit’s “Democracy Index” ranks us as the 19th healthiest democracy in the world, “behind a group of mostly parliamentary countries, and not very far ahead of the ‘flawed democracies.'”

And who do you think he was thinking of when he wrote this:

“Thin-skinned and grandiose” characters do better in presidential regimes, Buckley writes, whereas “delusions of Gaullist grandeur are fatal for Prime Ministers.” In the UK, they have to face the music in person every week. The aforementioned Harold Macmillan, British PM from 1957 to ’63, admitted that the very prospect used to make him physically sick.

The PM’s Question Time is but one facet of the superior executive accountability offered by parliamentary systems.

The US is a mess but there is nothing I can even conceive of that will fix what has gone wrong. Make the President the majority leader in the House would do much to fix things but as utopian as making impeachment in the US a realistic tool of government.

The author of the article doesn’t quite believe it in the end so if you want to read Buckley’s book, you can find it here: The Once and Future King: The Rise of Crown Government in America .

They can get a new president but they can’t get a new media

A bit of lamenting on a shrinking presidency:

He is not the commander-in-chief. He is the moral narcissist in chief. It’s not “I think, therefore I am.” It’s “I believe — therefore it is.”

But most of the country seems to realize that now. And his poll numbers reflect it. Sometimes it seems as if his only real supporters are government employees, food stamp recipients, and the editorial board of the New York Times. Whatever the case, that 2004 speech to the DNC is so far in the rear view mirror we might as well be on Battlestar Galactica.

There’s been a bit of that around with the polls showing Obama as the least popular president since who knows when. But it is still odds on that Hillary will win in 2016, shallow and ignorant though she may be. The media bias is so pronounced that as much as things are going from bad to worse in every part of American society, the guidance that a free press would provide is gone. If we can be more than a year into the IRS scandal with no end in sight, on just that count alone, the potential for internal self repair remains invisible.

Going home and coming home

Wednesday was the first time in which a genuine competition between a Canadian and an Australian had ever come up in a game where either might have won and both started from an equal footing. So the question had always been in my mind which way would I go. And even though I am in Toronto where I will be till Monday, when they went out on the court I was going for the Australian and was disappointed that he had lost although happy that a Canadian had won.

Forty years though I may have been in Australia, no one ever says to me when I’m in Canada, as they do to others I know, what an Aussie accent you have. I fit into this very different Toronto from the one I left but it has been a very nostalgic and enjoyable time, specially being summer as it is. And there are friends and family to see and places to re-visit. For Toronto, no tourist map is needed.

Nationality is a funny thing. I have a value system that is built out of the Judeo-Christian ethic that has travelled through a British historical and political tradition, a tradition found both here in the Dominion and also in Australia. And these I truly value and so am home in each and care about their survival.

Nevertheless, when I left Melbourne I was going home, but when I return, I will be coming home. It’s a small difference but it is a real one.

If you give ’em power they will use it

Discrimination is to make distinctions. In this case, it is a private sector firm deciding that it prefers its employees to speak the national language within the enterprise it runs.

The Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC), a federal agency tasked with enforcing workplace discrimination laws, is suing a private American business for firing a group of Hispanic and Asian employees over their inability to speak English at work, claiming that the English-language requirement in a U.S. business constitutes “discrimination.”

Judicial Watch reported Tuesday that the government is accusing Wisconsin Plastics, Inc. of violating Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, which prohibits discrimination based on “national origin.” The government argues this includes the “linguistic characteristics of a national origin group.”

Irene Garcia, the blog editor and Spanish media liaison for Judicial Watch, called the EEOC’s accusation “ludicrous.”

“That’s ludicrous and an overreaching of government,” Garcia told CNSNews.com. “If you are a private company in the United States, you should be able to require your employees to speak English.”

According to a news release from the EEOC, Chicago Regional Attorney John C. Hendrickson said the Green Bay-based company’s English requirement is based on “superficial” reasoning.

There are no doubt thousands of decisions like this but only a handful come to our attention because of the special breed of stupidity they show. But who’s to say the EEOC won’t win in court.

Stating the obvious to the oblivious

Why is this not perfectly obvious: US Will Become ‘Third World Nation’ If Feds Don’t Enforce Immigration Laws

Rep. Louie Gohmert, R-Texas, warns that the United States will become a third world nation if the federal government does not enforce its immigration laws.

It’s not just who’s coming in but also who’s thinking of going out. I met with a bunch of high school friends who now live in the US and they were discussing their Canadian passports as escape hatches if things go bad. No one was talking like this five years ago.