I was once again reminded about the multitudinous things that are wrong with economics today by two stories this morning. The first: Fed: US consumers have decided to ‘hoard money’. And then there was this: Cramped seats and angry passengers lead to diverted flights. Let me start with the first.
“Hoarding money” amongst all of the Keynesian idiocies is the most idiotic. Q: Why are people not spending? A: Because they are hoarding money. Q: What does it mean to “hoard money”? A: People are literally hanging onto cash rather than spend. And literally means literally. It means keeping money on hand and not even putting it into a bank.
It was idiocy in the 1930s when Keynes said it even though bank failures were not uncommon in the US. It has been a stupidity ever since as a cause of anything, and so far as I know, most textbooks tend to overlook this notion because it is so stupid. But not the Federal Reserve of St Louis:
One of the great mysteries of the post-financial crisis world is why the U.S. has lacked inflation despite all the money being pumped into the economy.
The St. Louis Federal Reserve thinks it has the answer: A paper the central bank branch published this week blames the low level of money movement in large part on consumers and their “willingness to hoard money.” The paper also cites the Fed’s own policies as a reason for consumers’ unwillingness to spend. . . .
“Why did the monetary base increase not cause a proportionate increase in either the general price level or (gross domestic product)?” economist Yi Wen and associate Maria A. Arias asked in the St. Louis Fed paper. “The answer lies in the private sector’s dramatic increase in their willingness to hoard money instead of spend it. Such an unprecedented increase in money demand has slowed down the velocity of money.”
These people are clueless about what’s going on, absolutely clueless. The lack of real income is crushing the American economy as the ersatz version driven by government spending has replaced the real kinds of income that are based on value adding production.
So what’s this got to do with the cramped seating on planes? Inflation means that what a unit of currency will buy diminishes. The same things cost more money, or the same amount of money will buy you fewer things. If you think of an airplane seat as a specific amount of room on an aircraft as you go from place to place, the inflation is coming in the form of less legroom and reduced space. On a cost per inch basis, prices have rocketed, but the CPI will never pick such things up.
The other way that the suppressed inflation is affecting things is in the way out capital structure is being run down. Again invisible using the national accounts or the CPI, but if you have travelled on an airplane in the US, just to give you one example, you can see just how decrepit the stock of capital in the US is becoming. The US, along with the rest of us, are finding our living standards declining because we are drawing down rather than building up.
Economic theory is such junk! But on a brighter note, the 2nd ed of my Free Market Economics will be released at the end of the month.