On the other hand, maybe these people are just insane

The election results, the Superbowl and now the Academy Award results apparently lead to the conclusion DID THE OSCARS JUST PROVE THAT WE ARE LIVING IN A COMPUTER SIMULATION?. From The New Yorker.

Once this insight is offered, it must be said, everything else begins to fall in order. The recent Super Bowl, for instance. The result, bizarre on the surface—with that unprecedented and impossible comeback complete with razzle-dazzle catches and completely blown coverages and defensive breakdowns—makes no sense at all in the “real” world. Doesn’t happen. But it is exactly what you expect to happen when a teen-ager and his middle-aged father exchange controllers in the EA Sports video-game version: the father stabs and pushes the buttons desperately while the kid makes one play after another, and twenty-five-point leads are erased in minutes, and in just that way—with ridiculous ease on the one side and chicken-with-its-head-cut-off panic infecting the other. What happened, then, one realizes with last-five-minutes-of-“The Twilight Zone” logic, is obvious: sometime in the third quarter, the omniscient alien or supercomputer that was “playing” the Patriots exchanged his controller with his teen-age offspring, or newer model, with the unbelievable result we saw.

There may be not merely a glitch in the Matrix. There may be a Loki, a prankster, suddenly running it. After all, the same kind of thing seemed to happen on Election Day: the program was all set, and then some mischievous overlord—whether alien or artificial intelligence doesn’t matter—said, “Well, what if he did win? How would they react?” “You can’t do that to them,” the wiser, older Architect said. “Oh, c’mon,” the kid said. “It’ll be funny. Let’s see what they do!” And then it happened. We seem to be living within a kind of adolescent rebellion on the part of the controllers of the video game we’re trapped in, who are doing this for their strange idea of fun.

So why worry? Wait for the reset and you can have the universe just the way you like it.

The non-existent evidence that Trump is a Russian mole

The article is titled, Trump Isn’t Sounding Like a Russian Mole and here are the telltale signs that might indicate he is.

Trump might for example acquiesce in a greater Russian presence and say in the Middle East. He might limit U.S. fracking, helping to prop up Putin’s oil price. He might seek to reduce nuclear weapons stockpiles in ways that give Russia badly needed economic relief from an arms burden that daily pressures the country more, and that accepts a permanent parity between the US and Russian nuclear arsenals, leaving America perpetually hostage to a nuclear balance of terror with a much weaker Russia. He might slash military spending and procurement; rather than steadily building the gap between Russian and American military capabilities, he might slow down and allow the Russians and others to dream of catching up.

In other words, if President Trump really is a Putin pawn, his foreign policy will start looking much more like Barack Obama’s. Will the New York Times and the Washington Post really have the brass to call Trump a traitor for pursuing a mix of policies which came right out of Obama’s playbook?

More to the point:

Obama’s chosen anti-Russia policy mix was as weak and hesitating as such policy can be. The sanctions were a way of pretending to ourselves that we had a Ukraine policy more than offering an actual path to forcing Russia to disgorge its gains. Trump’s policies of fracking and big military build up are more anti-Russian without sanctions than Obama ever thought was practical or wise. . . .

Trump’s actual foreign policy hardly suggests a president in thrall to the Kremlin, and excessive dovishness is unlikely to be the besetting sin of the Trump administration. The more the media locks itself into the narrative of Trump the appeaser, the harder its job will become when the real difficulties of the Trump presidency begin to take shape.

Which leads to this conclusion:

America needs an intellectually solvent and emotionally stable press to give this president the skeptical and searching scrutiny that he needs. What we are getting instead is something much worse for the health of the republic: a blind instinctive rage that lashes out without wounding, that injures its own credibility more than its target, that discredits the press at just the moment where its contributions are most needed.

The left agenda in general and its media shills in particular are in the process of revealing just how hollow and shallow it all is. It can no longer be hidden, and with Trump turning out to be more sure footed than we ever had a right to hope, perhaps this really is a revolutionary moment in the history of the West.

The Swedish model

One day the media will actually hit on a genuine scandal and we will never hear the end of it. They are trying as best they can and have gone through Russia hacked the election, then Mike Flynn, and now yesterday’s non-terrorist non-horror in Sweden. So far, not only have they come up with nothing they have tended to harden the Trump side of the political divide. The Swedish example is an interesting one since it is impossible not to know the problems its immigration and refugee programs have caused. But a loose word and the jackals of the press are there in pack numbers.

There is then this, going back to Mike Flynn which has led to this article, President Trump Has Been Far Too Nice To The Mainstream Media, in this instance in relation to the electronic eavesdropping on Trump’s National Security Advisor prior to his appointment.

Here’s the real story – the intelligence community under the Obama administration was obviously eavesdropping on Trump’s campaign in violation of practically every law ever written. Whether it was direct tapping of phones and emails, or illegally accessing the communications swooped up by the NSA in its nets, it’s clear that Obama’s people were spying on Obama’s political opponents. The transcript excerpts of Flynn’s phone call with the Russian diplomat leaked because it could be played off as targeting the Russian, though this was still an outrageous disclosure of American spying capabilities. What these criminals can’t do is release the communications between Americans that they possess because doing that confirms what we all know – that Obama’s people spied on his political opponents like his IRS persecuted them. The only question really is what did Obama know, and when did he know it – interestingly, on his way out the door, Obama made it easy to hide the source of the leaks by opening up access to the information across a bunch of agencies. There’s your story, a scandal that makes Watergate seem microscopic, and the mainstream media will not touch it because it would destroy the media’s political allies.

That is true, and everyone understands it perfectly well, but where are the media hounds when we have a story bigger than Watergate?

The true measure of each story’s significance is that the media – meaning the left – still get to decide what is and what is not news, what is and what is not a scandal, and it is still able to enforce what it decides on our daily conversations. And while the left never relents and never appears to learn, the right has its traitors who would do anything for a favourable mention on the news tonight.

A paranoid fear of the known

I discussed The Diplomad’s own discussion of the madness of the left which brought forward this very insightful comment from AndrewZ:

It’s important to understand that identity politics creates paranoia.

It divides society into categories based on personal characteristics like race, gender and sexuality. It then labels some of those groups as oppressors and some as victims, and teaches that all interactions between the members of different groups must be interpreted in terms of a hierarchy of power.

It also teaches that the personal is political. This is a natural consequence of defining the political factions in society in terms of their personal characteristics. But it means that every aspect of life then has to be interpreted in political terms, and in the framework of identity politics that means that every single thing in the world must be seen as an expression of the power relationships between the oppressors and their victims.

Now imagine what it means to really internalize that worldview. For example, a woman who has come to believe that men are her oppressors will come to see all men as a threat. She will become acutely conscious of the presence of men and will feel unsafe when there are any males nearby. She will begin to believe that she is surrounded by predators who want to do her harm and who have society’s permission to do so. Every social interaction will begin to seem dangerous and loaded with hidden messages about power and privilege. Political disagreement becomes intolerable because if the personal is political there is no difference between political disagreement and a personal attack.

In other words, the logic of identity politics naturally leads to paranoid thinking, and the more seriously a person takes it the more paranoid he, she or xe will become.

This results in a demand for “safe spaces” from which the designated oppressor groups are excluded. It also leads to rage, because people who feel that they are constantly under threat will come to hate the thing that threatens them even if the threat is largely or wholly imaginary. This in turn leads to outbursts of violence and hysteria as a means of releasing the psychological pressure of living under constant siege.

Now imagine how Donald Trump would appear to someone with that mindset. He’s a rich, white, alpha male Republican. Their ideology teaches them that a man like him is the apex predator of oppression, and the paranoia that it induces will make them feel that all this terrible danger is aimed at them personally. Even if they could somehow bring Donald Trump down they would soon feel just as threatened as they did before, because they cannot let go of their own self-image as victims without admitting that the whole conceptual framework of identity politics is fundamentally wrong.

But when the personal is political, changing your opinion on anything becomes a matter of changing part of your identity and that is never easy for anybody, so don’t expect the left to calm down anytime soon.

This was followed by a second comment by Anonymous also along the same theme:

Leftism and paranoia — correlation or causation? This post argues that leftism induces a persecution complex. Perhaps. But I think it is even more insidious than that. Naturally, paranoid people will tend towards leftism because it promises — falsely — the protection of a paternalistic state. We all know how well that works. But our gloriously failing educational bureaucracy from nursery school through college now actively teaches students to become paranoid. Yes, the main function of contemporary education in America is to induce a sense of persecution in all students. This causes them to become lefties. So, I think the most critical problem is that we are now breeding generations of cry-babies who will fundamentally alter the character of the nation. To make leftism work, you must create paranoids. This is, I believe, the most important link in the correlation-causation chain.

What sort of syndrome is it to be fearful of the known and totally welcoming of the unknown even though everything you do know about this particular unknown will wreck everything about the life you are presently leading?

Apology demanded

Following the exchange shown above, this was the entire story by John Lyon in today’s Australian: Sugar-coating the reality of Islam

How appalling. Two Australian women, sitting alongside each other on a panel, shouting abuse at each other about the status of women in Islam. That was yet another low-point in the debate in Australia about Islam. The clash on the ABC’s Q&A last night certainly provided a few minutes of lively television. But it was unedifying, ill-informed and played to prejudices on both sides of the debate.

Jacqui Lambie is what television producers call “great talent” — a direct communicator who can deliver a punch and can be compelling to watch. Her adversary last night was Yassmin Abdel-Magied, whose family came to Australia from Sudan when she was two and who now lives happily in Australia as a mechanical engineer. It’s as if the moment the “Muslim button” was pressed that these two lost it, shouting at each other a level of abuse that does nothing to further an important discussion. Amid the shouting, the content of each was questionable.

Abdel Magied argued that women are treated well in Islam. This may be the case in Brisbane, where she lives, but the idea of trying to argue this about Islam in general is nonsense. The two main drivers of Islamic practice in the world today are Iran and Saudi Arabia — Iran is the leader of the Shia world while Saudi Arabia is the leader of the Sunni world. Many Muslims in Australia follow the rulings and teachings of the spiritual leaders in these countries. In Iran, discrimination against women is entrenched in the law — the treatment of women as second-class citizens is open and formalised.

The notion that they are equal is absurd. For example, if a negligent driver in Iran hits and injures a female pedestrian the courts will make the driver pay half the compensation that they would if they injured a male pedestrian. I covered the 2009 “Green Revolution” in Iran for The Australian, an uprising violently crushed by the Ayatollahs. While I was there I got onto a bus with an Iranian-English woman who was showing me around Tehran. I got on the front of the bus, for the men, and she got on the back, for the women. A wooden pole separated the two. When we began talking, an Iranian woman sitting on the bus confronted us — were we married and if not then we should not be talking to each other in public. In Iran, a man and a woman should not talk in public unless they are related.

That same Iranian-English woman told me how “Islamic police” would walk alongside her in the street and tell her to wipe lipstick from her face, or that her scarf was not covering all her hair. I was invited into some homes, where I spoke to many young Iranian women about their status. Clearly frustrated, the married ones told me that an Iranian woman could only leave home, even to go to the shops, if their husband or father gave them “permission.” The women, who are connected to the world through the internet, movies and the strong university educations available in Iran, were both upset and embarrassed by this reality.

Things in Saudi Arabia are just as bad — women are not allowed to drive cars. Supporting that ban, Saudi cleric Sheikh Salah al-Luhaydan claimed it had been scientifically proven that driving “affects the ovaries” and leads to clinical disorders in children. Bear in mind that Sheikh al-Luhaydan is a spiritual leader, guiding future generations of Saudis in their attitudes. This sort of medieval mentality is found in many parts of the Arab world.

In 2010, the United Nations put on a summer camp for children in Gaza. But a Salafist group, Free of the Homeland, said the UN was “teaching schoolgirls fitness, dancing and immorality.” Two days later the camp was attacked and destroyed. Then in 2013, the UN decided to fund a Gaza marathon. About 1500 people registered, including many woman and children. But Hamas, which controls Gaza, banned girls and women from participating. The UN cancelled the event.

It is important that we discuss Islam, its problems and how it functions in countries such as Australia. To help that debate, we need to hear from sensible, moderate Muslims on how to deal with concerns that a large number of Australians have when they look around the world and see incident after incident of terrorism committed by Islamic extremists. Ultimately, in my view, the solution to Islamic extremism must come from inside Islam.

We need to remember that when Islamic State first formed in — it was then called al-Qa’ida in Iraq. It formed in 2004 as a response to the US-led invasion of Iraq. It was key figures in the local communities — the Sunni tribal leaders — who confronted them. These tribal leaders drove them out of Iraq because they found their methods and philosophy appalling. The group reformed as Islamic State — or ISIS — when the uprising in Syria began in 2011.

Islam is currently engaged in a battle for its future, and its identity. That underpins much of the instability in the Middle East, particularly in countries such as Syria and Iraq. For Yassmin Abdel-Magied to sit in a studio in Sydney and try to sugar-coat reality of how well women are treated in Islam will not help anyone. Perhaps she meant that for Muslim women in Australia the reality is much different than for Muslim women in many parts of the world — if that is what she means she should state that. That, in itself, would lead to a fascinating debate: are there some countries where it is good to be a Muslim woman but some countries where it is not good to be a Muslim woman? Nor will Jacqui Lambie help the debate by barking “Sharia law” every time she is asked to contribute. We need informed debate not shouting and abuse.

There was then this subsequent story in The Australian on Muslim leaders demand ABC apology following Jacqui Lambie’s conversation on Q&A Monday night over sharia law. These are the top comments on that story in order with none left out.

Glenda 7 hours ago
Maybe the new ABC fact check could start with Yasmin and her claim Islam is a feminist religion and that women have equal rights to men.

John 7 hours ago
Not a fan of Lambie in fact cannot stand her and not a fan of Q and A but its called Free Speech. Get over it. Of course you could all go back to the Middle Eastern Muslim Countries and try some free speech there. Or perhaps you could all spend your time fighting for Women’s rights in those countries. Nah too easy sponging in Australia. Huh !

M 7 hours ago
Maybe the offended parties should launch an 18C class action complaint against the ABC for permitting non left wing views to be aired in public.

Angry Dude 7 hours ago
Hang on, I saw the episode in question and Ms Abdel-Magied was the initiator of the brouhaha – she had been interjecting and talking over other panel members (with an air of superiority) all through the show. She talked over Ms Lambie and goaded her about being totally ignorant of Sharia Law. I’m not a fan of Ms Lambie but in this instance, neither Ms Lambie nor the ABC has any reason to apologize.

Geoff 7 hours ago
Today I learn that Muslims don’t like hateful speech. Fascinating!

Roger 6 hours ago
Wow..playing the victim card..again. Don’t these people ever learn that it is exactly that sort of carping and whining instead of reflecting on why western society is increasingly concerned with islam that sets them against us all. They are unbending in putting their religion at the forefront of everything particularly at the expense of the values of the host country they live in, yet demand that those of us calling their insidious practices such as sharia law, hala slaughter, child marriages etc etc out should be gagged.

pamela 7 hours ago
I am not a fan of Lambie’s but I would not apologize for anything. It is about time the Islamic community apologized to Australians for the problems they have caused since arriving in the country. Muslims appear to cause havoc wherever they go, so why do they think an apology in in order. Go take a running jump I say.

Julian 7 hours ago
So we allow muslims to immigrate here and they start organising groups and demanding things. We need to unwind this situation pronto as it is unacceptable. The Australian Islamic Mission is dedicated to converting Australia to Islam. Organisations such as this should be proscribed. It really is us or them, there is no middle path.

David 7 hours ago
An apology!!!….for telling the truth and saying what the majority of Australians think and believe…..Yeah Right…… Islam owes the world an apology!!!! “If Q&A wants to invite Muslim individuals to its forum, it should be able to guarantee a safe environment for them…” What they mean by that is….An environment with no opposing viewpoint….Well…That just ain’t going to happen in this non Middle Eastern country where we enjoy freedom rather than religious indoctrination and censorship.

John 6 hours ago
Is it just me or am I perceiving a much harsher and more volatile reaction from all these different Muslim groups and leaders over nothing more than a few raised voices in disagreement, than we ever see when we experience violent attacks by Islamic extremists on our own soil? I’m thinking that their priorities are seriously flawed.

Luke 7 hours ago
But it’s ok for them to criticize Australian and Western values at will….

David 5 hours ago
Simple solution. Stop inviting Muslims onto any ABC program. They represent 3% of the population and 30% of ABC panellists.

Kate 6 hours ago
Islamophobia Watch Australia? The members of this organisation would be much better off spending their time encouraging Muslims to integrate into Australian society. Instead of looking for people who hate Muslims, shouldn’t they be looking for Muslims who hate us? Because they’re the ones who are far more likely to do harm to someone. How many Islamophobic Australians have harmed Muslims lately? On the other hand we have Man Monis and the young gunman who killed Curtis Cheng. We’re not the problem. You are.

Charmaine 5 hours ago
They demand ” comfort” when they go on Q&A ? Bahahaha. Precious petals. Yasmin was toe-to-toeing on the program & shouting with the best of them. This group don’t get to ” demand” anything.

Frank 7 hours ago
Here we go, cranking out the grievances. Glad to see the ABC being the target this time. The ABC shot themselves in the foot with that little ruse. Jacqui Lambie’s video clip above and her 6-points sound perfectly fair and reasonable to me. Go Jacqui!

Glen 6 hours ago
The Muslim collective (what a wonderful Leftie/Socialist term) is offended by Jackie Lambie’s comments. I am offended by Yassmin Abdel-Magied’s straight out lies about how tolerant Islam is especially towards women. I would like to see the ABC issue an apology for allowing her to lie to the Australian public. What is the point of having a Fact Checking department if the ABC is not going to using it.

Austin 5 hours ago
How about all the falsehoods peddled by Yassmin? Classic diversionary tactics of those who are an enemy of Australian culture and values to viciously go after those who bring them out into the light.

John 6 hours ago
Just listened to Lambies response.Tho I,m not a fan of hers,I have to say this is the most succinct rebuttal of Sharia that I have ever heard. These facts should be broadcast far and wide. They make complete sense.Australia beware, MT start listening.

Paul 6 hours ago
If they want sharia law then they must leave Australia for a country that has sharia law. It is quite simple. They can choose Saudi Arabia, Iran, Egypt (three countries where women are officially by law second class), Indonesia, Malaysia. I am sure that they would be most welcome there. My guess is they know they have it too good in Australia to even contemplate such a move, but want to change our country to suit them. No way…..

John 6 hours ago
Two can play at this game. I demand an apology for every time that a Mufti in Australia has insulted this country, its people, laws and society.

Vicky 5 hours ago
What is it with Muslims? Why do they demand so much attention all the time? There have been many nationalities and religions co-existing peacefully in this country for so many years. The Chinese, Greeks, Italians, Vietnamese, Irish, Yugoslavs (as they once were), Jews, Catholics, Orthodox, Buddhists have never sought to hijack the social and political agenda. We have all managed to live together in harmony. We didn’t need hashtags to unite us; we just did it through our democratic institutions and respect for our laws and civil society.

Deirdre 7 hours ago
Yet another example of why Trump was elected…

David 7 hours ago
I normally would have nothing in common with Senator Lambie (except the air we breathe), however why should the ABC apologize over an “incident” that is no more or less offensive than most of the ABC “inspired” left wing stunts.

todd 6 hours ago
Lambiie expressed the views of many Australians maybe not that eloquently but they are widely shared views. The Muslim community does nothing for its cause “rallying” like this as it only hardens the views of many.

Karl 6 hours ago
So Senator Lambie takes a position on Sharia law, states that position and stands by her comments. That is, she has exercised her right to free speech. A group of organisations representing Muslim interests has taken offence. They want to speak only in a friendly, safe environment. Presumably that is an environment where everyone has been vetted and is of a supporting position. Hardly constitutes a free debate. But then free speech is not encouraged in countries governed under Sharia law and never from women.

John Adams: The real story of the Q Society dinner

Taken from Catallaxy which had taken it from The Spectator.

Jacqueline Maley’s report of Thursday night’s Sydney Q Society dinner published on the Sydney Morning Herald’s website on Friday has caused an explosion of outrage throughout the political class, the media commentariat and on social media in the subsequent 48 hours.

As someone who attended the dinner and knows several people who were in attendance,* I came away from the event with a vastly different interpretation of the event proceedings than portrayed in the Maley report.

In fairness to Maley, her reporting was indeed accurate and in context (although I was actually outside the room speaking to Ross Cameron during the Larry Pickering remarks).

In what has become standard operating procedure among mainstream media journalists, the Maley report presented a sensationalised ideological type-cast narrative of the event by placing significant emphasis on a collection of the most outrageous, offensive and exotic comments made during the event, while providing a broad chronological overview.

There is no question that a range of deeply offensive comments were made which I do not agree with or endorse nor take responsibility for.

However, with over two hours of remarks made during the event, much more was said beyond what is catalogued in the Maley report.

As a political and policy analyst, I found the event fascinating and informative.

The dinner was profoundly rich in vivid subtext which could only be heard through attentive listening beyond the mere words and actions espoused by the various speakers and the reactions of the audience or the exhibits which were sold through the event’s auction.

To an astute political observer, the subtext displayed at the event goes a long way to explaining the current state of Australian politics and provides a new predictive political framework allowing forecasts to be made as to likely Australian political trends over the coming medium term.

Across all of the speakers (except for the Pickering address which I did not hear [with some context here), was a strong admiration and defence of the core canons of western civilisation including freedom of speech, freedom of thought, freedom of conscience, freedom of assembly, the pursuit of knowledge, an openness and commitment to the free exchange of ideas, the application of logic and reason as well as the scientific method.

This admiration and defence was juxtaposed with an inherent hostility to any theological or philosophical ideas and practices which conflicted with these core values, including outrage when examples were given of how the exercise of these canons have been eroded in contemporary Australia.

Among the attendees, Islam is viewed as a dangerous theological, political and social construct as it consists of elements including murder, rape, paedophilia, anti-Semitism, the mass slaughter of Jews, intellectual submission, theological supremacism and a thirst for territorial expansion through theologically-sanctioned deceptive tactics (otherwise known as “al-taqiyya”).

There is nothing new in these views or their validity, given the extensive documentary catalogue of evidence that has amassed over the past 1400 years both in terms of Islamic literature (the Koran [God’s revelation] and the Hadiths [a record of Muhammad’s sayings]) or its application.

These views of Islam were more commonly held in the western world prior to the advent and aggressive application of cultural Marxism and political correctness, which goes some way to explaining the older demographic of patrons that attended the event.

Another interesting sub-textual element on full display during the dinner was the obsession with identity politics, especially national identity. The dinner was just a microcosm of a broader debate which is raging across Australia as to what constitutes an Australian.

For those at the dinner, obtaining an official government document (e.g. a citizenship certificate) is a necessary, but insufficient, condition of being an Australian.

Rather, being an Australian requires the acceptance and the manifest application of the western canons which have shown over centuries to produce superior economic, social and cultural outcomes.

The inherent problem with twenty-first century Australian multiculturalism (as opposed to twentieth-century Australian multiculturalism which largely consisted of European migrants who were innately amiable to core western canons) is that it requires Australians to equate and tolerate a set of cultural axioms and canons which are violently in conflict with each other and are otherwise irreconcilable.

While the speakers which I heard were careful not to paint every Australian Muslim with the same brush, they were able to provide real world Australian examples of how theologically or culturally inspired practices were manifesting themselves within our borders that clearly fall outside the norms of western cultural axioms. Such practices include forced marriages, female genital mutilation, the use of intimidation tactics that inhibit or prevent open rational debate, as well as the incidence of violence designed to prevent the free exercise of religious conscience.

For those in attendance, these examples are viewed as early warning signs regarding the loss of the distinctive characteristics which forms the Australian identity as well as illustrating the risks and consequences of social disintegration, given more prominent examples which are internationally observable, such as in France.

Beyond these elements, further sub-textual elements were present through the speakers’ style of delivery and presentation.

While many of the speakers were indeed overtly outrageous, offensive and politically incorrect, this was done in many cases intentionally as a rebellion against contemporary social and political norms of conversation which has been narrowly constrained by political correctness inspired and enforced by domestic and international institutional forces.

The subtext was a clear desire among attendees to have an authentic, direct and blunt conversation about a whole host of societal, cultural and political issues which the contemporary political and media class are either unwilling to have or are incapable of having.

The accumulation of these sub-textual themes is emblematic of the new political coalition which is crystallising across the western world.

This coalition is a unification of conservatives, classical liberals and traditional working-class voters who are hostile to dramatic changes of the fundamental concepts which underpin western societal culture. This new coalition is not only responsible for the political victories of Nigel Farage and Donald Trump, but also underpins the electoral base of Marine Le Pen, Jacqui Lambie and Pauline Hanson.

According to the latest polling, this new political coalition consists of 10-20 per cent of the national Australian electorate ** and will inevitably grow if these inherent cultural tensions lead to a fracturing of domestic social cohesion.

It should be no shock that Sky News’ now top rating Sunday program, ‘Outsiders’, consists of a former leader of the Australian Labor Party, a former Howard Government parliamentary secretary and an intellectual conservative writer.

Perhaps it may not be the job of a hard news reporter, but the Maley report, while accurate, did a major disservice by not conveying the revolutionary clash of fundamental identity and cultural concepts which are sweeping Australia and the broader western world which will ultimately result in the collapse of the Turnbull Prime Ministership***, given Turnbull’s hostility and inability to discuss and address these current tensions.

The misreading of these tensions by the Australian mainstream media (whether intentional or not) forms part of the explanation as to why they misjudged in 2016 the Brexit referendum, the return of Pauline Hanson and the election of Donald Trump. As a result, the traditional media’s influence on Australian public opinion has eroded substantially.

On the morning after the Q Society Dinner, I spoke to a Turnbull government minister and provided them with a summary of my observations from the event.

I indicated that the Coalition needs to take note of the thematic sentiments conveyed at such events given that the overwhelming majority of the attendees would have voted for John Howard 10 years prior.

I noted that irrespective of whether Turnbull is replaced as leader, the Coalition cannot escape addressing (no matter how uncomfortable) these core identity and cultural tensions if it wishes to be an ongoing viable political force in Australia.

Interestingly and implicit in his decision to defect, Senator Cory Bernardi has made the political calculation that the Coalition lacks the gumption and capacity to meet this challenge.

If we take Europe, in particular, as a live case study, one can only conclude that Bernardi, Hanson, Lambie and other similar political associates are onto a winning horse.

John Adams is a former Coalition Advisor. This op-ed first appeared in The Spectator.

*I attended the Sydney Dinner in a personal capacity to assist fundraising for Kirralie Smith’s legal defence as Kirralie Smith is a personal friend. I am not a member of the Q Society or any political party. During the event, I sat with Sydney Morning Herald journalists Jacqueline Maley and Nick O’Malley. I have been a long-term acquaintance of both Jacqueline Maley and Ross Cameron.

** The Essential Poll now indicates that Pauline Hanson and One Nation is more popular in Queensland in 2017 relative to One Nation’s historic 1998 election result.

*** On 10 June 2016, I was the first analyst to publicly predict through the Daily Telegraph and on the ABC TV Drum program, that Turnbull, if re-elected as Prime Minister, would not serve the full parliamentary term as Prime Minister and would be replaced in either late 2017 or in the first half of 2018.

The circling of the elites

Sunday morning so thought I would look at the paper and there we have this column by PVO on Political discourse coarsened by reactionary war against ‘elites’. It’s not every reactionary who becomes the wave of the future, but there is this possibility in DJT. It is a bit old timey, but let me take you back to what I still think makes a lot of sense:

The circulation of elite is a theory of regime change described by Italian social scientist Vilfredo Pareto (1848–1923). Changes of regime, revolutions, and so on occur not when rulers are overthrown from below, but when one elite replaces another.

There will always be leaders in every society and they will come from a variety of directions and use different means to hold on when challenged. But this is the essence of what PVO has to say:

A book by American professor Tom Nichols titled The Death of Expertise: The Campaign Against Established Knowledge and Why It Matters, explores how and why modern society has embraced such a lowbrow approach. [My bolding]

Let me take my own area of expertise, economics. You can certainly accuse me of campaigning against modern textbook theory which, so far as I can see, has brought our economies very low although making some people very rich. Go back to the first civilisations and you will see this everywhere you go. There are some few who are very rich and there are others who are not. The thing about our societies in the West is that those who are not do very very well by historical standards. But if your expertise is founded on the belief that increased aggregate demand and higher public spending are good for growth and employment, then your expertise, in my view, is junk science.

And the fact is, there is a lot of that kind of stuff around at the moment, with agw as large a danger to our communal wealth and well being as I have ever seen. So what does PVO say about that?

Climate change scientists might be the specialists when it comes to assessing global warming, and I’ll defer to their judgment rather than embrace the conspiracy theories of polemicists who dispute the evidence. But when climate scientists seek to influence policy mechanisms for addressing climate change, they move outside their area of expertise. Scientists recommending how best to structure tax or energy trading systems is akin to me offering medical advice: buyer beware. [My bolding again]

Those lowbrow polemicists attacking our elites who indulge in various forms of crony capitalism as they sell us massively government-subsidised wind farms and solar panels may actually have a point, and even more so if you think that these very same elites want to open our borders to anyone who decides to show up.

A healthy and necessary re-assertion of the primacy of the nation-state

Trump’s America First theme in his inauguration did not in the least worry me since it was pro-American and not anti-anyone else. I am Australia First in the same kind of way. We have created our own way of life and I am not prepared to allow an open-borders idiocy to destroy the way we do things unless I think there is a better way of doing things. And no doubt there is, as we will find out as we move into the future, but we will not find out if our way of life is brought to an end through the arrival of a vast flow of migrants and refugees who follow entirely different traditions. So here is an article that puts it very well in a very small number of words: The New Trumpist Nationalism. This is how it ends:

In an age of globalization, transnationalism, and ever more porous borders, Trumpian nationalism is a healthy and necessary re-assertion of the primacy of the nation-state in world affairs and of the interests of all American citizens in domestic politics. Trumpism represents not the rebirth of an older European ethnic nationalism, but instead constitutes a re-affirmation of American civic nationalism to deal with the realities of the 21st century.

Now go and see how it begins.