Politics post-Qld

These are the results I did today on a quiz designed to determine which side I am on so far as politics in the United States are concerned. My results were not much of a surprise to me:

Republicans                  98%
Conservatives               96%
Constitution Party        91%
Libertarian                      69%
Democrats                        5%
Socialists                          1%
Green Party                      1%

Feel free to try it yourself at I Side With . . . . But I mention it only as a preamble to my thoughts post-Queensland.

Tony Abbott is the rawest rookie ever to lead a major political party in Australia. There is something so off about his approach to the use of power to achieve political ends that it is positively maddening. Did he really enter politics so that he could choose the winner of Australian Literary Awards and bring knighthoods back. Prince Phillip is a disaster of such stupidity that I am astounded that it had even crossed his mind, never mind that he actually decided to surprise everyone, including his own party. He undoubtedly made the fatal difference in Queensland which endlessly depresses me. It is very possible that this was the fatal mistake and he will end up being assassinated in the rotunda, or however these things are now done amongst the Libs in Canberra. Yet what truly irritates me is that there is no one else I would prefer so far as policy goes. He may no longer be capable of winning the coming election, and if so he will therefore have to go. But no one amongst the leadership group represents the policy matrix I prefer.

I think the junking of his Paid Maternity Leave scheme means either he has seen the light, or more likely, he has had a midnight visit with baseball bats to encourage him “to consult” more closely with the rest. Rudd could never be brought round, but Tony might just make the adjustment, and he has a year or so to get there (or perhaps about three months). The thing about Rudd, however, was that while his colleagues hated him, the country found him quirky but OK. With Abbott, it’s something like the reverse.

The nature of this country is at a crossroads. A Shorten-Plibersek Government would add to the bile, and with the 47% now a universal and climbing, this could be the last Coalition Government for a very long time. And as it happens, today I was down on Acland Street and who should be sitting at the cafe next door but Bill Shorten himself along with his family. What was also quite striking, and why this is still the country it is, was that no one invaded his privacy by coming up to speak to him, nor did there seem to be any security presence anywhere around. And then, half an hour later, I came across him again, at the bookshop looking through a book. My wife thinks it was just a cynical meet-the-people exhibition. I just think he was out to have a quiet Sunday afternoon in just the same way I was having myself.

There is so much going for this country, I just don’t want to see it ruined.

The Obama touch

Obama fails at everything he tries to do. Netanyahu surges in pre-election polls just as he sends his own team of election advisors to Israel to help the opposition.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is enjoying a surge in the latest opinion polls of Israeli voters. The Jerusalem Post reports that its latest poll shows Bibi’s party, the Likud, is leading the race for the first time in weeks. Other polls agree, and show the Likud leading its rival, the Zionist Union, which is a combination of the Labor and Hatnua parties.

The Post attributes Netanyahu’s improved showing to the cross-border conflict with Hezbollah, which attacked Israeli soldiers earlier this week, killing two. The attack was a retaliation, likely orchestrated by Iran, for Israel’s strike on a Hezbollah convoy in the Syrian Golan Heights earlier this month, in which an Iranian brigadier general was also killed.

However, this is also a week in which Netanyahu has been the target of withering criticism from the American and Israeli left over his decision to accept Speaker of the House John Boehner’s invitation to address Congress in March. If that has harmed Netanyahu, it has not prevented him from taking the lead–and it may even have rallied Israeli voters around him.

What happened to the 5%?

The American economy went back to its dismal rate of growth. The five percent last quarter was understood by everyone, except those who depended on the media to keep them informed, that the uptick was due to a statistical adjustment made necessary by the introduction of the Affordable Care Act. Now we are back to 2.6%.

The economy grew more slowly than expected in the fourth quarter as government spending fell sharply and business investment pulled back.

Gross domestic product expanded at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.6% in the three months ended Dec. 31, slowing sharply from a robust 5% pace in the third quarter, the Commerce Department said Friday. Economists expected 3.1% growth.

For all of 2014, the economy grew 2.4%, up from 2.2% in 2013, after harsh winter weather early in the year caused the economy to shrink in the first quarter.

The story is in USA Today so naturally will not own up to the nature of the problem. But to understand just how dismal things are, there is this statement from the report to remind you that as bad as things are now, they will only get worse: “Measures of business investment, however, have been declining.” This is not the bursting recovery from recession, but about as bad as could be in what is supposed to be a recovery.