The more you look, the worse Biden becomes

These are a few considerations that have emerged in the quite interesting thread following my post on watching the Vice Presidential debate for the second time. First is something I wrote myself.

In my view the difference in the debate and which affected Paul Ryan is the difference between talking to an audience that knows the facts and the general public that does not. Ryan’s experience comes from discussion in the House where it is difficult to get away with untruths and misstatements for very long. The unemployment rate went down below eight percent for the first time in 43 months – hardly a worthy test of economic competence – and even then the number had the look of a fiddle as has been noted. Anyway, as the Washington Post further noted, the data also showed “the biggest increase in so-called underemployed Americans since February 2009, during the depths of the Great Recession.” Loved the “so-called” since it is a stat in the same league as the unemployment rate.

Meanwhile Iran really is moving closer to the bomb and whatever nonsense there may be about Iran being “more isolated” than ever, it will make hardly an ounce of difference since even North Korea has the bomb and no one is more isolated than they are. And if you’re not scared about that what does scare you? Romney often talks about a suitcase bomb in New York against which there would be no defence.

And the bit about tax cuts for the rich, it is necessary to understand the American system which means that to raise this rate will raise taxes on a multitude of small firms.

Ryan’s problem – a general problem for Republicans – is that they assume a higher level of knowledge and a better comprehension of the issues. The Democrats, like all the parties of the left, stick to the P.T. Barnum Principle, there’s a sucker born every minute. With population growth being what it is, we’re down to one every ten seconds and the numbers are growing.

James K also found quite a quite interesting article which is more or less summarised in its heading:

Palin To O’Reilly: ‘My Buddy Joe Biden Has A Penchant For Making Shhh—Stuff Up’

Not only is that exactly so, but these lies are also being exposed. This time even the media will be somewhat less forgiving nor will they be able to cover up as much as they may have preferred. And as the falsehoods seep out, it will do more and more damage to the Obama campaign. Most importantly, as again JamesK points out, the lies about the Libyan ambassador are major issues, not just because they are lies but because they display a level of ineptitude that really ought to be unforgivable. This is from an article by Jennifer Rubin:

Vice President Joe Biden served up the worst gaffe of any of the 2012 debates, in a moment that will harm not only him but also his boss. Sure, the obnoxious grimacing and the mannerisms will be mocked relentlessly, but it was his egregious misstatement on Benghazi that will now plague the Obama-Biden ticket….

That’s about the size of it. The Post’s Glenn Kessler reamed Biden: “Biden’s bold statement was directly contradicted by State Department officials just this week, in testimony before a congressional panel and in unclassified cables released by a congressional committee.” NBC’s Andrea Mitchell likewise called out Biden

Biden’s flub illustrates why Obama deputy campaign manager Stephanie Cutter on Thursday said Benghazi was only about politics; apparently for the Obama-Biden team that’s about the size of it, thereby alleviating them of the need to figure out what happened and to speak truthfully to the American people.

Foreign policy has now become a liability for the Obama campaign. This will make it even more so.

And speaking of which, Token has now found the video of Mitt Romney which will no doubt be a major part of the final debate with Obama on foreign policy as well as in every speech Romney makes right up to 6 November. This is an issue from which they cannot hide and for which they can find no refuge. They may have been able to hide Fast and Furious in the shuffle but (i) the death on 911 (ii) of an ambassador who (iii) had asked for more protection (iv) for reasons unrelated to a trailer of a film released on Youtube (v) but which Biden and Obama have lied about, all this will be part of the campaign no matter how often Biden or his president choose to try to lie and deceive.

And lastly, there is this from Michael Medved

I watched the proceedings on a big screen together with 250 listeners from the Seattle flagship station for my radio show. In the discussion afterward, one of the women present said that Biden made her cringe by reminding her precisely of her abusive ex-husband. Another 23-year-old came up to me afterward and emphatically agreed, saying she had just left her own abusive relationship and that watching Biden’s antics gave her the creeps in the same way that her former boyfriend’s dismissive snickering always made her feel inadequate.

In these days of misogyny and all, there may have been no greater sin.

Reflections on seeing the VP debate for a second time

I watched the VP debate for the second time tonight since my wife hadn’t seen it during the day and I came away even more than before with the strong impression that Paul Ryan heavily took it out. He came across as someone with cool and judgement, someone with the gravitas and seriousness to be the president if he had to. He had thought about the issues and if he were called upon to decide on some matter, looks perfectly able to sort through the options he might be given with a genuine capability to properly weigh matters up.

Biden was the reverse. He struck me as crude and shallow, lacking in a genuine ability to see an issue through to the end. Nor did he give me that comfortable feeling that he would be able to take a difficult decision in which there might be a host of considerations to weigh up. And his laugh track was so irritating that you really do wonder whether he is psychologically unbalanced. It was obviously the strategy for him to smile and smile and be a villain yet, but if that was supposed to be a winning pose it worked for me not at all.

Before the debate I had written that:

Biden is wily and been around the traps for quite a while. He is practised in the art of politics which makes him a formidable opponent and not someone to let one’s guard down against for a moment. Though he lied and misrepresented from one end of the debate to the other, in my remembrance of the time he was more than a match for Sarah Palin and Paul Ryan is new at the game. Ryan has a number of potential problems in front of him – he may be too wonkish, he may sound too much like he intends to slash and burn and he is coming in against an expectation that will work against him if at the end of the night Biden has been able to hold his own. For all that, Ryan understands the issues within an inch of his life and Biden does not.

In the end, that’s still how it looked to me. Biden said whatever he thought might sound best on the night and truth be damned. He therefore came away with a superficial plausibility but struck me as someone of no substance. Ryan in contrast played it straight, obviously fortified by his deep knowledge of the issues and his commitment to the positions he took.

The test for me is this. If I were considering which of the two I would want to sit down with Vladimir Putin in some negotiation where some vital interest was at stake, there is no doubt that I would prefer it was Ryan at the table. On this, if there’s doubt for you, there’s none for me at all.

Some further thoughts: In my view the difference in the debate and which affected Paul Ryan is the difference between talking to an audience that knows the facts and the general public that does not. Ryan’s experience comes from discussion in the House where it is difficult to get away with untruths and misstatements for very long. The unemployment rate went down below eight percent for the first time in 43 months – hardly a worthy test of economic competence – and even then the number had the look of a fiddle as has been noted. Anyway, as the Washington Post further noted, the data also showed “the biggest increase in so-called underemployed Americans since February 2009, during the depths of the Great Recession.” Loved the “so-called” since it is a stat in the same league as the unemployment rate.

Meanwhile Iran really is moving closer to the bomb and whatever nonsense there may be about Iran being “more isolated” than ever, it will make hardly an ounce of difference since even North Korea has the bomb and no one is more isolated than they are. And if you’re not scared about that what does scare you? Romney often talks about a suitcase bomb in New York against which there would be no defence.

And the bit about tax cuts for the rich, it is necessary to understand the American system which means that to raise this rate will raise taxes on a multitude of small firms.

Ryan’s problem – a general problem for Republicans – is that they assume a higher level of knowledge and a better comprehension of the issues. The Democrats, like all the parties of the left, stick to the P.T. Barnum Principle, there’s a sucker born every minute. With population growth being what it is, we’re down to one every ten seconds and the numbers are growing.

You call that misogyny? I’ll show you misogyny

This was a pretty famous picture on the day that Obama was elected back in 2008. The fellow on Hilary’s right is Jon Favreau who is to this minute Director of Speechwriting for President Barack Obama. “He has been named,” as his Wikipedia entry puts it, “one of the ‘100 Most Influential People in the World’ by Time magazine.” Yet as the text that goes with the picture puts it, “there he is, groping the breast of a cardboard cutout of Hillary Rodham Clinton as an unnamed pal wearing an ‘Obama staff’ T-shirt kisses and feeds her beer.”

By these standards, Julia Gillard has had a pretty tame time of it. If she would like some idea of what misogyny looks like, she should have a look at these chaps from the Obama administration instead.

The great German inflation of the 1920s – some numbers

Putting some numbers to the historical events:

In 1920, a loaf of bread soared to $1.20, and then in 1921 it hit $1.35. By the middle of 1922 it was $3.50. At the start of 1923 it rocketed to $700 a loaf. Five months later a loaf went for $1200. By September it was $2 million. A month later it was $670 million (wide spread rioting broke out). The next month it hit $3 billion. By mid month it was $100 billion. Then it all collapsed. Let’s go back to “marks”. In 1913, the total currency of Germany was a grand total of 6 billion marks. In November of 1923 that loaf of bread we just talked about cost 428 billion marks. A kilo of fresh butter cost 6000 billion marks (as you will note that kilo of butter cost 1000 times more than the entire money supply of the nation just 10 years earlier).

The article itself adds quite a bit both to the economic side and the social.

Needed – a president who can provide leadership, not excuses

This is a reply by Mitt Romney to the insane allegation from Obama’s spokeswoman, Stephanie Cutter, that the inquiries taking place over the murder of the American ambassador in Benghazi are occurring only because it has been politicised by Romney and Ryan.

President Obama’s campaign today said that Libya is only an issue because of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan. They’re wrong. The reason it is an issue is because, for the first time since 1979, an American ambassador was assassinated and President Obama’s foreign policy strategy of ‘leading from behind’ is failing. This administration has continually misled the American public about what happened in Benghazi and, rather than be truthful about the sequence of events, has instead skirted responsibility and dodged questions. The American people deserve straight answers about this tragic event and a president who can provide leadership, not excuses.

How anyone can not think of this as a major political issue is beyond me. That they would rather suppress such debate shows they understand perfectly well just how far knowing the facts of what took place discredits this administration, but that is the last reason that it should not be discussed right now. The month before an election is the perfect time for these issues to be vetted, far better than the month after, especially if keeping silent allows this administration to be re-elected.

Lara Logan – she of Tahir Square – on al Qaeda and the Taliban

This is a video of a speech given by Lara Logan, the CBS reporter assaulted in Tahir Square in Cairo. What she is explaining is that far from the Taliban and Al Qaeda being on the run, they are coming back more powerfully than ever and they are posing an ever greater threat to the West. And she would know, and because she is an absolute insider in media networks, she will have more than a normal level of influence on the coming debates on American foreign policy and not incidentally on media reporting of the Obama administration. I don’t know whether she would have spoken as she does before her horrific personal experience but however she felt then, she is certainly clear eyed today.

There is a quite full report in The Chicago Sun Times with this extended quote from the speech:

Her ominous and frightening message was gleaned from years of covering our wars in the Middle East. She arrived in Chicago on the heels of her Sept. 30 report, ‘The Longest War.’ It examined the Afghanistan conflict and exposed the perils that still confront America, 11 years after 9/11.

Eleven years later, ‘they’ still hate us, now more than ever, Logan told the crowd. The Taliban and al-Qaida have not been vanquished, she added. They’re coming back.

‘I chose this subject because, one, I can’t stand, that there is a major lie being propagated . . .’ Logan declared in her native South African accent.

The lie is that America’s military might has tamed the Taliban.

‘There is this narrative coming out of Washington for the last two years,’ Logan said. It is driven in part by ‘Taliban apologists,’ who claim ‘they are just the poor moderate, gentler, kinder Taliban,’ she added sarcastically. ‘It’s such nonsense!’

Logan stepped way out of the ‘objective,’ journalistic role. The audience was riveted as she told of plowing through reams of documents, and interviewing John Allen, the top U.S. commander in Afghanistan; Afghan President Hamid Karzai, and a Taliban commander trained by al-Qaida. The Taliban and al-Qaida are teaming up and recruiting new terrorists to do us deadly harm, she reports.

She made a passionate case that our government is downplaying the strength of our enemies in Afghanistan and Pakistan, as a rationale of getting us out of the longest war. We have been lulled into believing that the perils are in the past: ‘You’re not listening to what the people who are fighting you say about this fight. In your arrogance, you think you write the script.’

Our enemies are writing the story, she suggests, and there’s no happy ending for us.

What a consequential election the Americans are about to have with the right to free contraceptives and saving Big Bird from the private sector the major elements in the Democrat pitch.

VP debate Friday @ noon ADST on SBS

Biden is wily and been around the traps for quite a while. He is practised in the art of politics which makes him a formidable opponent and not someone to let one’s guard down against for a moment. Though he lied and misrepresented from one end of the debate to the other, in my remembrance of the time he was more than a match for Sarah Palin and Paul Ryan is new at the game. Ryan has a number of potential problems in front of him – he may be too wonkish, he may sound too much like he intends to slash and burn and he is coming in against an expectation that will work against him if at the end of the night Biden has been able to hold his own. For all that, Ryan understands the issues within an inch of his life and Biden does not. We shall soon see for ourselves.

Friday on SBS at ADST noon.

Getting off the campaign bus

Maybe, just maybe, the media don’t like to be taken for complete fools. They are partisan to the farthest extent possible, but there comes a time when their integrity becomes so obviously on the line that there is nothing left for them to do but to try to look responsible and honest. The persistent lies by Obama over the attack on the Consulate in Benghazi and the death of the American ambassador are now rightly an issue that only the deeply morally impaired will be able to support the president on. Following the debate, this may be the final death blow for media complicity in a failing election campaign. The media may be – may be – about to get off the Obama campaign bus.

Poisoning the political debate

My posting below, Dealing with the ideologically deaf has now been posted at Quadrant on Line under the lovely title, Gillard’s Feminine Mystique.

Because there is not a single policy or decision that has not turned absolutely sour on her causing the polls to indicate a Labor wipeout at the next election, she has decided to scrape the bottom of the political barrel by arguing that the Leader of the Opposition is not merely a sexist – that is, someone who believes women are different from men and for that reason might take different roles in society – but is a full flown misogynist – an actual hater of women and womankind. She is thus poisoning political debate by dragging in arguments which aside from being beside the point on every major issue of significance at the moment, are also absolutely untrue. That she cannot distinguish between:

(a) I don’t like your policies
(b) I don’t like you because of what you stand for, and
(c) I don’t like you because you are woman

is merely par for the course given how obtuse she has shown herself to be in every other regard. By invoking (c) when what is being said is (a) is, moreover, destructive of politics and political debate, creating animosities where none had existed before. Pandering to the worst instincts and dredging up the badge of victimhood merely for her own political advantage, she is debasing our politics and making Australia a worse place than it was. But it is a reminder just how out of her depth she is adding another example of how destructive she has been to our social peace.

My article at Quadrant Online deals with Gillard burrowing into this pile of dirt because for her it is the only answer she has to the criticisms she so rightly receives. Since Little Miss Perfect cannot believe she is personally at fault about anything, the flaw must lie within her critics. That is what my article tries to say. Here is one para and you can go to QoL if you would like to read the rest:

For someone such as myself, who felt as strongly and positively about Margaret Thatcher as I did about Ronald Reagan, the notion that behind my disgust at the policies of such as astonishingly incompetent Prime Minister as Gillard has proven to be are attitudes based on her sex is both insulting and ridiculous. But for her such beliefs are a talisman that protects her from every criticism since she never has to take them seriously because to her they are based on biological facts on not on her personal incompetence.

Or to put it differently, if she hadn’t run up the deficit why producing nothing worthwhile, created an immense debt where none had existed before, fatally weakened our border protections by dismantling the system that had been carefully put in place by John Howard, brought in a carbon tax after promising in the week before the election that she would not, introduced the NBN that is likely to make our communications system far worse than if she had merely left it alone, and now intends to direct the media so that she will not have to read criticisms of her policies over the Weetbix in the morning, I might have had a different view of both her policies and her persona. But if she believes that either Tony Abbott or anyone else would have been happy had a male done all of this instead, then she is exactly as dense as I actually think she is.