Who knows what lies ahead, but some things that seemed impossible not that long ago no longer seem that way at all. This is the opening to: The “Trump Doctrine” for the Middle East.
- Trump has shown the strength of the United States and restored its credibility in a region where strength and force determine credibility.
- Trump more broadly laid the foundation for a new alliance of the United States with the Sunni Arab world, but he put two conditions on it: a cessation of all Sunni Arab support for Islamic terrorism and an openness to the prospect of a regional peace that included Israel.
- Secretary of State Pompeo spoke of the “Palestinians”, not of the Palestinian Authority, as in Iran, possibly to emphasize the distinction between the people and their leadership, and that the leadership in both situations, may no longer be part of the solution. Hamas, for the US, is clearly not part of any solution.
- Netanyahu rightly said that Palestinian leaders, whoever they may be, do not want peace with Israel, but “peace without Israel”. What instead could take place would be peace without the Palestinian leaders. What could also take place would be peace without the Iranian mullahs.
What possibilities there are! 2024 might be a world unimagined in 2016. The Great Man theory of history remains the only one that works for me, although the temper of the times does count for quite a lot. Stay tuned.