The real question is who are these 49% that the polls say still intend to vote for Labor? Unimaginable really. But I do have an article at Quadrant Online that looks at the election as we enter into our first full day. And what I discuss is the nature of the ballot with the natural constituency of a Labor party made up of those who live by the words they use rather than the goods they produce, those who work for governments at every level (including those crony capitalists) and those who live off the plundering of incomes by the state. It’s a pretty big coalition and it is getting harder to beat every year as their numbers keep growing by political design.

The QoL article is mainly about an article I did just after the American election in Quadrant itself. And here is the point:

The Left’s incompetence and bad government are never enough to ensure its defeat. And the more that outdated notions of personal freedom and independence are moved downwards in the scale of collective values the more difficult a party of the Left will be to dislodge. The ALP has not yet lost the next election. Barack Obama, with hardly a success to his name, is still the president. Polls or no polls, who the Australian prime minister will be a year from today is yet to be determined.

This will be a tough election. Why that is, however, I cannot tell since the allure of the ALP is invisible. But there are plenty on the other side who see it exactly the other way round.